Match Info
MLBDate: 9 April 2026, ThursdayLocation: Citi Field (New York, NY)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 World | MLB.TV |
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New York Mets |
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Arizona Diamondbacks |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.54 |
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2.55 |
 Watch |
 |
1.54 |
|
2.48 |
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 |
1.58 |
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2.57 |
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 |
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Watch |
 |
1.53 |
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2.5 |
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 |
1.6 |
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2.53 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.63) |
|
2.53 ↑
(2.34) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New York Mets
61.9% | Arizona Diamondbacks
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Mets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Arizona Diamondbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arizona Diamondbacks than the current prediction. (+2.8%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. NY Mets will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Arizona will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arizona: 31.2% – 83%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arizona (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2 
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Lineups
| Batters |
|---|
12.  Lindor F.
| 4.  Marte K.
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19.  Bichette B.
| 6.  Vargas I.
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88.  Robert L.
| 2. Perdomo G.
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27.  Vientos M.
| 25. Del Castillo A.
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10. Semien M.
| 11. Fernandez J.
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4. Alvarez F.
| 8. McCann J.
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7. Baty B.
| 5.  Thomas A.
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13. Torrens L.
| 13. Tawa T.
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28. Taylor T.
| 1. Barrosa J.
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| Pitchers |
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26. McLean N.
| 57. Rodriguez E.
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| Coaches |
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. Mendoza C.
| . Lovullo T.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 3.NY Mets is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Arizona has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). NY Mets could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 107:80. (average 5.4:4).Including home matches between the teams, NY Mets won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 69:57. (average 5.3:4.4).
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Outrights of MLB for now
New York Mets: 6.23% Arizona Diamondbacks: 1.55%
Last Results with these Odds
New York Mets - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 58.86%, but this team recently wins 49% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 08.04.26 | New York Mets - Arizona Diamondbacks | 2:7 | | 07.04.26 | New York Mets - Arizona Diamondbacks | 4:3 | | 07.05.25 | Arizona Diamondbacks - New York Mets | 1:7 | | 06.05.25 | Arizona Diamondbacks - New York Mets | 5:1 | | 05.05.25 | Arizona Diamondbacks - New York Mets | 4:5 | | 01.05.25 | New York Mets - Arizona Diamondbacks | 2:4 | | 30.04.25 | New York Mets - Arizona Diamondbacks | 3:4 |
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