Match Info

MLB

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Citi Field (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	ESPN+, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	New York Mets		Cincinnati Reds

	1	2
	1.83	2	Watch
	1.83	1.98
	1.89	2.04
			Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.89	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.85)	2.01 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Mets
52.1%

Cincinnati Reds
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Mets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Cincinnati Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

New York Mets - Cincinnati Reds Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. NY Mets will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
3. Benge C.	59. Dunn B.
19. Bichette B.	44. De la Cruz E.
22. Soto J.	22. Bleday JJ
27. Vientos M.	27. Stewart S.
10. Semien M.	28. Suarez E.
9. Ewing A.	31. Lowe N.
39. Wagaman E.	7. Steer S.
7. Baty B.	37. Stephenson T.
13. Torrens L.	29. Friedl T.
Pitchers
43. Brazoban H.	41. Abbott A.
Coaches
. Mendoza C.	. Francona T.

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 1.

NY Mets is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cincinnati's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

NY Mets may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 67:86. (average 3.4:4.3).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Mets won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 37:48. (average 3.4:4.4).

Last Results with these Odds

New York Mets - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 52.23%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Mets
MLB
26.05.26	New York Mets - Cincinnati Reds	2:7 ✺
25.05.26	New York Mets - Cincinnati Reds	2:7 ✺
24.05.26	Miami Marlins - New York Mets	4:1 ✺
23.05.26	Miami Marlins - New York Mets	4:1 ✺
22.05.26	Miami Marlins - New York Mets	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cincinnati Reds
MLB
26.05.26	New York Mets - Cincinnati Reds	2:7 ✺
25.05.26	New York Mets - Cincinnati Reds	2:7 ✺
23.05.26	Cincinnati Reds - St. Louis Cardinals	1:8 ✺
23.05.26	Cincinnati Reds - St. Louis Cardinals	1:8 ✺
20.05.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds	4:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
26.05.26	New York Mets - Cincinnati Reds	2:7
25.05.26	New York Mets - Cincinnati Reds	2:7
07.09.25	Cincinnati Reds - New York Mets	3:2
06.09.25	Cincinnati Reds - New York Mets	6:3
05.09.25	Cincinnati Reds - New York Mets	4:5
20.07.25	New York Mets - Cincinnati Reds	3:2
19.07.25	New York Mets - Cincinnati Reds	2:5

New York Mets - Cincinnati Reds: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide