Match Info

MLB

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN+
World	MLB.TV


	Philadelphia Phillies		Cincinnati Reds

	1	2
	1.67	2.25	Watch
	1.66	2.22
	1.69	2.34
			Watch
	1.65	2.25	Watch
	1.72	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.69)	2.27 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 10.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Phillies
57.5%

Cincinnati Reds
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Lineups

Batters
7. Turner T.	9. McLain M.
53. Garcia A.	44. De la Cruz E.
3. Harper B.	22. Bleday JJ
28. Bohm A.	27. Stewart S.
10. Realmuto J.T.	7. Steer S.
16. Marsh B.	31. Lowe N.
33. Sosa E.	59. Dunn B.
5. Stott B.	30. Benson W.
4. Kemp O.	65. Higgins PJ
Pitchers
27. Nola A.	41. Abbott A.
Coaches
. Mattingly D.	. Francona T.

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.

Philadelphia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cincinnati has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 83:94. (average 4.2:4.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:39. (average 4.1:4.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Cincinnati Reds - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 43.34%, but this team recently wins 37% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Phillies
MLB
19.05.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds	1:4 ✺
18.05.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds	5:4 ✺
17.05.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies	0:6 ✺
16.05.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies	9:11 ✺
15.05.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies	9:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWW
- Cincinnati Reds
MLB
19.05.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds	1:4 ✺
18.05.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds	5:4 ✺
17.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds	7:4 ✺
16.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds	7:4 ✺
15.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Cincinnati Reds	6:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
19.05.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds	1:4
18.05.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds	5:4
13.08.25	Cincinnati Reds - Philadelphia Phillies	8:0
12.08.25	Cincinnati Reds - Philadelphia Phillies	6:1
11.08.25	Cincinnati Reds - Philadelphia Phillies	1:4
06.07.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds	3:1
05.07.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds	5:1

Philadelphia Phillies - Cincinnati Reds: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide