Match Info

MLB

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Citi Field (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2
World	MLB.TV


	New York Mets		New York Yankees

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.87	1.94
	1.87	2.06
			Watch
	1.85	1.91	Watch
	1.91	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.94)	1.96 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Mets
50.9%

New York Yankees
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Mets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

New York Yankees has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Yankees than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

New York Mets - New York Yankees Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. NY Mets will win (votes: 6 - 75%). NY Yankees will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Mets: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New York Mets will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
3. Benge C.	12. Grisham T.
19. Bichette B.	22. Rice B.
22. Soto J.	99. Judge A.
27. Vientos M.	35. Bellinger C.
1. Melendez M.	13. Chisholm J.
7. Baty B.	19. McMahon R.
10. Semien M.	78. Jones S.
9. Ewing A.	11. Volpe A.
30. Senger H.	25. Escarra J. C.
Pitchers
51. Peralta F.	76. Rodriguez E.
Coaches
. Mendoza C.	. Boone A.

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 3.

NY Mets is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, NY Yankees has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

NY Yankees may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, NY Mets has had a series of home games.

Recently, NY Yankees has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 117:87. (average 5.9:4.4).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Mets won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 76:51. (average 6.9:4.6).

Last Results with these Odds

New York Mets - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 49.65%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

New York Yankees - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50.35%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Mets
MLB
16.05.26	New York Mets - New York Yankees	6:3 ✺
15.05.26	New York Mets - New York Yankees	2:5 ✺
14.05.26	New York Mets - Detroit Tigers	9:4 ✺
13.05.26	New York Mets - Detroit Tigers	3:2 ✺
12.05.26	New York Mets - Detroit Tigers	10:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWW
- New York Yankees
MLB
16.05.26	New York Mets - New York Yankees	6:3 ✺
15.05.26	New York Mets - New York Yankees	2:5 ✺
13.05.26	Baltimore Orioles - New York Yankees	7:0 ✺
12.05.26	Baltimore Orioles - New York Yankees	2:6 ✺
11.05.26	Baltimore Orioles - New York Yankees	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
16.05.26	New York Mets - New York Yankees	6:3
15.05.26	New York Mets - New York Yankees	2:5
MLB Spring Training
08.03.26	New York Mets - New York Yankees	10:4
22.02.26	New York Yankees - New York Mets	4:6
MLB
06.07.25	New York Mets - New York Yankees	4:6
05.07.25	New York Mets - New York Yankees	12:6
04.07.25	New York Mets - New York Yankees	6:5

New York Mets - New York Yankees: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide