Match Info

MLB

Date: 11 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Citi Field (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	NESN
World	MLB.TV


	New York Mets		St. Louis Cardinals

	1	2
	1.67	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.25
	1.66	2.22
	1.68	2.36
			Watch
	1.65	2.25	Watch
	1.72	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)	2.27 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Mets
57.6%

St. Louis Cardinals
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Mets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

St. Louis Cardinals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis Cardinals than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

New York Mets - St. Louis Cardinals Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. NY Mets will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). St. Louis will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): St. Louis Cardinals will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Lineups

Batters
3. Benge C.	26. Wetherholt J.
19. Bichette B.	48. Herrera I.
22. Soto J.	41. Burleson A.
29. Young J.	18. Walker J.
9. Ewing A.	21. Nootbaar L.
10. Semien M.	0. Winn M.
7. Baty B.	8. Crooks J.
4. Alvarez F.	16. Gorman N.
1. Melendez M.	27. Church N.
Pitchers
45. Scott C.	73. Dobbins H.
Coaches
. Mendoza C.	. Marmol O.

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 1.

In recent matches, NY Mets has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

St. Louis is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that St. Louis will win today's game, with odds of 2.21.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 76:68. (average 3.8:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Mets won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:39. (average 3.3:3.9).

Last Results with these Odds

St. Louis Cardinals - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 43.51%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Mets
MLB
10.06.26	New York Mets - St. Louis Cardinals	2:9 ✺
09.06.26	New York Mets - St. Louis Cardinals	0:7 ✺
07.06.26	San Diego Padres - New York Mets	3:7 ✺
06.06.26	San Diego Padres - New York Mets	3:2 ✺
05.06.26	San Diego Padres - New York Mets	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW
- St. Louis Cardinals
MLB
10.06.26	New York Mets - St. Louis Cardinals	2:9 ✺
09.06.26	New York Mets - St. Louis Cardinals	0:7 ✺
07.06.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Cincinnati Reds	5:3 ✺
06.06.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Cincinnati Reds	6:5 ✺
05.06.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Cincinnati Reds	10:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
10.06.26	New York Mets - St. Louis Cardinals	2:9
09.06.26	New York Mets - St. Louis Cardinals	0:7
01.04.26	St. Louis Cardinals - New York Mets	2:1
31.03.26	St. Louis Cardinals - New York Mets	3:0
30.03.26	St. Louis Cardinals - New York Mets	2:4
MLB Spring Training
20.03.26	New York Mets - St. Louis Cardinals	3:4
12.03.26	St. Louis Cardinals - New York Mets	3:1

New York Mets - St. Louis Cardinals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide