The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Diego Padres 49.6%
New York Mets 50.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
49.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.9%
48.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Padres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
New York Mets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.3%
0%
35.7%
San Diego Padres - New York Mets Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). NY Mets will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 39.2% – 89.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Diego (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5
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Lineups
Batters
23. Tatis F. Jr.
3. Benge C.
3. Merrill J.
19. Bichette B.
25. France T.
22. Soto J.
13. Machado M.
29. Young J.
2. Bogaerts X.
9. Ewing A.
41. Andujar M.
10. Semien M.
4. Bowen J.
7. Baty B.
0. Taylor S.
1. Melendez M.
54. Fermin F.
13. Torrens L.
Pitchers
98. Vasquez R.
43. Brazoban H.
Coaches
. Stammen C.
. Mendoza C.
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 2.
San Diego has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
NY Mets has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
NY Mets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, NY Mets has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 75:84. (average 3.8:4.2).
Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 50:41. (average 4.2:3.4).
Last Results with these Odds
New York Mets - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 49.65%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.