What is the expert prediction for New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, July 22, 2026)

Match Info

MLB

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Yankee Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2, Oneplay Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Hungary	Sport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
World	MLB.TV


	New York Yankees		Pittsburgh Pirates

	1	2
	1.46	2.6	Watch
	1.55	2.50
	1.54	2.48
	1.52	2.76
			Watch
	1.5	2.7	Watch
	1.63	2.46
	1.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.67)	2.59 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Yankees
62.8%

Pittsburgh Pirates
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Yankees has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Yankees's performance.

Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pittsburgh Pirates might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Yankees than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Yankees that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pittsburgh Pirates could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	0%	10.5%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Pittsburgh (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: New York Yankees will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New York Yankees will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Yankees (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Lineups

Batters
12. Grisham T.	28. Mangum J.
22. Rice B.	5. Lowe B.
78. Jones S.	10. Reynolds B.
35. Bellinger C.	55. Valdez E.
24. Dominguez J.	29. O'Hearn R.
13. Chisholm J.	3. Gonzales N.
72. Caballero J.	26. Gonzalez J.
19. McMahon R.	32. Davis H.
28. Wells A.	37. Callihan T.
Pitchers
45. Cole G.	23. Keller M.
Coaches
. Boone A.	. Kelly D.

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Yankees won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Pittsburgh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, NY Yankees has had a series of home games.

Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Yankees won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 147:83. (average 7.4:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Yankees won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 87:57. (average 7.3:4.8).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Yankees
MLB
20.07.26	New York Yankees - Pittsburgh Pirates	8:5 ✺
19.07.26	New York Yankees - Los Angeles Dodgers	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	New York Yankees - Los Angeles Dodgers	2:8 ✺
17.07.26	New York Yankees - Los Angeles Dodgers	1:2 ✺
12.07.26	Washington Nationals - New York Yankees	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW
- Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB
20.07.26	New York Yankees - Pittsburgh Pirates	8:5 ✺
19.07.26	Cleveland Guardians - Pittsburgh Pirates	1:7 ✺
18.07.26	Cleveland Guardians - Pittsburgh Pirates	5:3 ✺
18.07.26	Cleveland Guardians - Pittsburgh Pirates	1:7 ✺
12.07.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers	14:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
20.07.26	New York Yankees - Pittsburgh Pirates	8:5
MLB Spring Training
09.03.26	New York Yankees - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:5
23.02.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - New York Yankees	2:6
MLB
06.04.25	Pittsburgh Pirates - New York Yankees	5:4
05.04.25	Pittsburgh Pirates - New York Yankees	4:10
04.04.25	Pittsburgh Pirates - New York Yankees	4:9
MLB Spring Training
03.03.25	New York Yankees - Pittsburgh Pirates	12:3

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