Match Info

MLB

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
World	MLB.TV


	Philadelphia Phillies		New York Mets

	1	2
	2.01	1.76	Watch
	2.05	1.80
	2.03	1.78
	2.11	1.85
			Watch
	2.08	1.81	Watch
	2.1	1.84	Watch
	2.04	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.09)	1.8 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Phillies
46.7%

New York Mets
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

New York Mets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Philadelphia Phillies will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
7. Turner T.	9. Ewing A.
12. Schwarber K.	22. Soto J.
3. Harper B.	19. Bichette B.
16. Marsh B.	12. Lindor F.
28. Bohm A.	3. Benge C.
5. Stott B.	29. Young J.
10. Realmuto J.T.	10. Semien M.
17. Rincones G.	7. Baty B.
2. Crawford J.	13. Torrens L.
Pitchers
57. Rangel A.	26. McLean N.
Coaches
. Mattingly D.	. Green A.

Preview

Interrupted due to bad weather.

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 3.

Philadelphia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

NY Mets's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 101:85. (average 5.1:4.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 80:40. (average 6.7:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Philadelphia Phillies - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 46.19%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Phillies
MLB
18.07.26	Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets	6:1 ✺
16.07.26	Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets	1:4 ✺
12.07.26	Detroit Tigers - Philadelphia Phillies	0:5 ✺
11.07.26	Detroit Tigers - Philadelphia Phillies	2:4 ✺
10.07.26	Detroit Tigers - Philadelphia Phillies	10:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL
- New York Mets
MLB
18.07.26	Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets	6:1 ✺
16.07.26	Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets	1:4 ✺
12.07.26	New York Mets - Boston Red Sox	2:3 ✺
11.07.26	New York Mets - Boston Red Sox	0:4 ✺
10.07.26	New York Mets - Boston Red Sox	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
18.07.26	Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets	6:1
16.07.26	Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets	1:4
28.06.26	New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies	4:5
27.06.26	New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies	6:2
26.06.26	New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies	1:2
21.06.26	Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets	6:2
20.06.26	Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets	15:3

Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide