Match Info

MLB

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2, Oneplay Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2
World	MLB.TV


	Philadelphia Phillies		San Diego Padres

	1	2
	1.44	2.85	Watch
	1.45	2.8
	1.48	2.70
	1.49	2.88
			Watch
	1.45	2.75	Watch
	1.51	2.81	Watch
	1.42	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 (1.46)	2.81 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Phillies
65.8%

San Diego Padres
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

San Diego Padres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Philadelphia Phillies - San Diego Padres Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). San Diego will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
12. Schwarber K.	23. Tatis F. Jr.
7. Turner T.	30. Sheets G.
3. Harper B.	25. France T.
16. Marsh B.	3. Merrill J.
28. Bohm A.	2. Bogaerts X.
5. Stott B.	41. Andujar M.
10. Realmuto J.T.	54. Fermin F.
53. Garcia A.	29. Johnson B.
2. Crawford J.	13. Machado M.
Pitchers
45. Wheeler Z.	55. Giolito L.
Coaches
. Mattingly D.	. Stammen C.

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 5.

Philadelphia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

San Diego has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.

Philadelphia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 88:60. (average 4.4:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 4.3:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Phillies
MLB
03.06.26	Philadelphia Phillies - San Diego Padres	3:2 ✺
02.06.26	Philadelphia Phillies - San Diego Padres	3:2 ✺
31.05.26	Los Angeles Dodgers - Philadelphia Phillies	9:1 ✺
30.05.26	Los Angeles Dodgers - Philadelphia Phillies	3:4 ✺
29.05.26	Los Angeles Dodgers - Philadelphia Phillies	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL
- San Diego Padres
MLB
03.06.26	Philadelphia Phillies - San Diego Padres	3:2 ✺
02.06.26	Philadelphia Phillies - San Diego Padres	3:2 ✺
31.05.26	Washington Nationals - San Diego Padres	4:2 ✺
30.05.26	Washington Nationals - San Diego Padres	9:4 ✺
29.05.26	Washington Nationals - San Diego Padres	5:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
03.06.26	Philadelphia Phillies - San Diego Padres	3:2
02.06.26	Philadelphia Phillies - San Diego Padres	3:2
27.05.26	San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies	0:3
26.05.26	San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies	3:4
25.05.26	San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies	0:3
13.07.25	San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies	1:2
12.07.25	San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies	5:4

Philadelphia Phillies - San Diego Padres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide