Match Info

MLB

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Nationals Park (Washington, DC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN+, NESN, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	Washington Nationals		San Diego Padres

	1	2
	1.95	1.87	Watch
	1.92	1.88
	2.01	1.94
			Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.97	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.14)	1.9 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Washington Nationals
49.3%

San Diego Padres
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Nationals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

San Diego Padres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Nationals than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Washington Nationals - San Diego Padres Predictions

Users Predictions: Washington Nationals will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Washington Nationals will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Lineups

Batters
29. Wood J.	23. Tatis F. Jr.
2. Garcia L.	30. Sheets G.
45. Mead C.	13. Machado M.
5. Abrams C.	2. Bogaerts X.
4. Lile D.	3. Merrill J.
30. Young J.	25. France T.
8. Tena J.	21. Castellanos N.
84. Vivas J.	24. Song Sung-Mun
20. Ruiz K.	54. Fermin F.
Pitchers
18. Littell Z.	17. Canning G.
Coaches
. Butera B.	. Stammen C.

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 2.

Washington has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

San Diego's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 83:116. (average 4.2:5.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 39:65. (average 3.5:5.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Washington Nationals - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 45.19%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Nationals
MLB
30.05.26	Washington Nationals - San Diego Padres	9:4 ✺
29.05.26	Washington Nationals - San Diego Padres	5:7 ✺
27.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Washington Nationals	3:2 ✺
26.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Washington Nationals	3:6 ✺
25.05.26	Cleveland Guardians - Washington Nationals	2:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLWW
- San Diego Padres
MLB
30.05.26	Washington Nationals - San Diego Padres	9:4 ✺
29.05.26	Washington Nationals - San Diego Padres	5:7 ✺
27.05.26	San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies	0:3 ✺
26.05.26	San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies	3:4 ✺
25.05.26	San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
30.05.26	Washington Nationals - San Diego Padres	9:4
29.05.26	Washington Nationals - San Diego Padres	5:7
20.07.25	Washington Nationals - San Diego Padres	1:8
19.07.25	Washington Nationals - San Diego Padres	4:2
18.07.25	Washington Nationals - San Diego Padres	2:7
25.06.25	San Diego Padres - Washington Nationals	1:0
24.06.25	San Diego Padres - Washington Nationals	4:3

Washington Nationals - San Diego Padres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide