Match Info

MLB

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: PNC Park (Pittsburgh, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	MLB.TV


	Pittsburgh Pirates		Baltimore Orioles

	1	2
	1.8	2.05	Watch
	1.83	1.98
	1.85	2.08
			Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.83	2.12	Watch
	1.82	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.82)	2.05 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Pirates
53%

Baltimore Orioles
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Baltimore Orioles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltimore Orioles than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pittsburgh Pirates - Baltimore Orioles Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Baltimore will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
15. Cruz O.	3. Ward T.
5. Lowe B.	2. Henderson G.
10. Reynolds B.	25. Alonso P.
29. O'Hearn R.	29. Basallo S.
38. Yorke N.	9. O'Neill T.
6. Griffin K.	12. Beavers D.
2. Horwitz S.	30. Taveras L.
32. Davis H.	82. Jackson J.
28. Mangum J.	23. Blaze A.
Pitchers
67. Ashcraft B.	40. Bassitt C.
Coaches
. Kelly D.	. Albernaz C.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 4.

Pittsburgh is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Baltimore has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 93:75. (average 4.7:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 54:46. (average 4.9:4.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Baltimore Orioles - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.64%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB
04.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Baltimore Orioles	5:4 ✺
03.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Baltimore Orioles	5:4 ✺
01.04.26	Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:8 ✺
31.03.26	Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:8 ✺
30.03.26	Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL
- Baltimore Orioles
MLB
04.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Baltimore Orioles	5:4 ✺
03.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Baltimore Orioles	5:4 ✺
01.04.26	Baltimore Orioles - Texas Rangers	8:3 ✺
31.03.26	Baltimore Orioles - Texas Rangers	5:8 ✺
30.03.26	Baltimore Orioles - Texas Rangers	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
04.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Baltimore Orioles	5:4
03.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Baltimore Orioles	5:4
MLB Spring Training
14.03.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Baltimore Orioles	8:6
11.03.26	Baltimore Orioles - Pittsburgh Pirates	7:2
27.02.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Baltimore Orioles	6:1
21.02.26	Baltimore Orioles - Pittsburgh Pirates	2:8
MLB
11.09.25	Baltimore Orioles - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:2

Pittsburgh Pirates - Baltimore Orioles: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide