Match Info
MLBDate: 28 May 2026, ThursdayLocation: PNC Park (Pittsburgh, PA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Usa | ESPN+, NESN, SportsNet Pittsburgh |
 World | MLB.TV |
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Pittsburgh Pirates |
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Chicago Cubs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.59 |
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2.45 |
 Watch |
 |
1.58 |
|
2.37 |
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 |
1.63 |
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2.5 |
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 |
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Watch |
 |
1.57 |
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2.4 |
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 |
1.61 |
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2.51 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.58) |
|
2.45 ↓
(2.45) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pittsburgh Pirates
60.5% | Chicago Cubs
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Chicago Cubs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Cubs than the current prediction. (-1%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Chi Cubs will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chi Cubs: 57.6% – 90.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3 
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Lineups
| Batters |
|---|
2.  Horwitz S.
| 4.  Crow-Armstrong P.
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5. Lowe B.
| 2. Hoerner N.
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10. Reynolds B.
| 29. Busch M.
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15.  Cruz O.
| 3. Bregman A.
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51.  Garcia J.
| 8. Happ I.
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28. Mangum J.
| 27.  Suzuki S.
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3.  Gonzales N.
| 25. Ballesteros M.
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19. Triolo J.
| 9.  Amaya M.
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32. Davis H.
| 7. Swanson D.
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| Pitchers |
|---|
30. Skenes P.
| 53. Rea C.
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| Coaches |
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. Kelly D.
| . Counsell C.
|
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 3.Recent performances by Pittsburgh have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Chi Cubs's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). Pittsburgh is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 56:88. (average 2.8:4.4).Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:48. (average 3.3:5.3).
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Last Results with these Odds
Pittsburgh Pirates - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 60.78%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Chicago Cubs - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 39.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 27.05.26 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Chicago Cubs | 4:10 | | 26.05.26 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Chicago Cubs | 12:1 | | 25.05.26 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Chicago Cubs | 2:1 | | 12.04.26 | Chicago Cubs - Pittsburgh Pirates | 7:6 | | 11.04.26 | Chicago Cubs - Pittsburgh Pirates | 3:4 | | 10.04.26 | Chicago Cubs - Pittsburgh Pirates | 0:2 | | 17.09.25 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Chicago Cubs | 4:8 |
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