Match Info
MLBDate: 17 May 2026, SundayLocation: PNC Park (Pittsburgh, PA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | MLB.TV |
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Pittsburgh Pirates |
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Philadelphia Phillies |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.77 |
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2.1 |
 Watch |
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1.7 |
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2.18 |
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 |
1.78 |
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2.03 |
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 |
1.81 |
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2.16 |
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Watch |
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1.73 |
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2.1 |
Watch |
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1.82 |
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2.13 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.74) |
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2.12 ↓
(2.16) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 7.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.5% | Philadelphia Phillies
45.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-0.5%)Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 41.6% – 98.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 7, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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15.  Cruz O.
| 7.  Turner T.
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5. Lowe B.
| 12. Schwarber K.
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10. Reynolds B.
| 3. Harper B.
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3.  Gonzales N.
| 28. Bohm A.
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2.  Horwitz S.
| 16. Marsh B.
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6. Griffin K.
| 53.  Garcia A.
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28. Mangum J.
| 5. Stott B.
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19. Triolo J.
| 10. Realmuto J.T.
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32. Davis H.
| 2. Crawford J.
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| Pitchers |
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30. Skenes P.
| 45. Wheeler Z.
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| Coaches |
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. Kelly D.
| . Mattingly D.
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Preview
1 extra inning played.Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 3.Pittsburgh has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Philadelphia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of home games.Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 79:84. (average 4:4.2).Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 52:55. (average 4.7:5).
Last Results with these Odds
Philadelphia Phillies - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 44.7%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 16.05.26 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies | 9:11 | | 15.05.26 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies | 9:11 | | 08.06.25 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies | 2:1 | | 07.06.25 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies | 2:1 | | 06.06.25 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies | 5:4 | | 18.05.25 | Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates | 1:0 | | 17.05.25 | Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates | 5:2 |
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