Match Info

MLB

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Petco Park (San Diego, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	MLB.TV


	San Diego Padres		Chicago White Sox

	1	2
	1.59	2.45	Watch
	1.61	2.33
	1.65	2.5
			Watch
	1.57	2.4	Watch
	1.65	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)	2.42 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 0.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Padres
60%

Chicago White Sox
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Padres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Chicago White Sox has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago White Sox than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

San Diego Padres - Chicago White Sox Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Chi White Sox will win (votes: 12 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chi White Sox: 59.8% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chicago White Sox will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
5. Laureano R.	17. Antonacci S.
41. Andujar M.	5. Murakami M.
3. Merrill J.	23. Benintendi A.
13. Machado M.	12. Montgomery C.
2. Bogaerts X.	10. Meidroth C.
25. France T.	24. Kelenic J.
21. Castellanos N.	29. Peters T.
54. Fermin F.	0. Acuna L.
9. Cronenworth J.	36. Romo D.
Pitchers
46. Canning G.	18. Kay A.
Coaches
. Stammen C.	. Venable W.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 3.

San Diego has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chi White Sox is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, San Diego has had a series of home games.

San Diego is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Chi White Sox will win today's game, with odds of 2.57.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 75:53. (average 3.8:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:33. (average 3.5:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

San Diego Padres - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 60.57%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Chicago White Sox - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 39.43%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Padres
MLB
02.05.26	San Diego Padres - Chicago White Sox	0:4 ✺
01.05.26	San Diego Padres - Chicago White Sox	2:8 ✺
29.04.26	San Diego Padres - Chicago Cubs	4:5 ✺
28.04.26	San Diego Padres - Chicago Cubs	3:8 ✺
27.04.26	San Diego Padres - Chicago Cubs	9:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- Chicago White Sox
MLB
02.05.26	San Diego Padres - Chicago White Sox	0:4 ✺
01.05.26	San Diego Padres - Chicago White Sox	2:8 ✺
29.04.26	Chicago White Sox - Los Angeles Angels	3:2 ✺
28.04.26	Chicago White Sox - Los Angeles Angels	5:2 ✺
27.04.26	Chicago White Sox - Los Angeles Angels	8:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
02.05.26	San Diego Padres - Chicago White Sox	0:4
01.05.26	San Diego Padres - Chicago White Sox	2:8
MLB Spring Training
03.03.26	Chicago White Sox - San Diego Padres	3:4
MLB
21.09.25	Chicago White Sox - San Diego Padres	2:3
20.09.25	Chicago White Sox - San Diego Padres	3:7
19.09.25	Chicago White Sox - San Diego Padres	4:3
MLB Spring Training
11.03.25	San Diego Padres - Chicago White Sox	7:5

San Diego Padres - Chicago White Sox: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide