The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Diego Padres 59.5%
Cincinnati Reds 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.7%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Padres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.1%
0%
57.9%
San Diego Padres - Cincinnati Reds Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 35.7% – 80.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5, 1st Half Innings - San Diego (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Diego (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3
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Lineups
Batters
23. Tatis F. Jr.
9. McLain M.
3. Merrill J.
22. Bleday JJ
13. Machado M.
27. Stewart S.
30. Sheets G.
7. Steer S.
7. Wagner W.
31. Lowe N.
0. Taylor S.
28. Suarez E.
29. Johnson B.
17. Myers D.
48. Duran R.
4. Marte N.
24. Song Sung-Mun
65. Higgins P. J.
Pitchers
34. King M.
51. Singer B.
Coaches
. Stammen C.
. Francona T.
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 2.
In recent matches, San Diego has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cincinnati's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, San Diego has had a series of home games.
Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games.
San Diego might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 97:90. (average 4.9:4.5).
Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 47:39. (average 4.7:3.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Cincinnati Reds - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 41.28%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.