Match Info

MLB

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Petco Park (San Diego, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports MAX 5
Hungary	Sport 1
Netherlands	ESPN 3
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 3
Usa	SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	San Diego Padres		Toronto Blue Jays

	1	2
	2.01	1.76	Watch
	2.05	1.78
	2.10	1.73
	2.14	1.82
			Watch
	2.11	1.79	Watch
	2.13	1.82	Watch
	2.05	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.04)	1.78 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Padres
46.1%

Toronto Blue Jays
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Padres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Toronto Blue Jays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Blue Jays than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

San Diego Padres - Toronto Blue Jays Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5

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Lineups

Batters
23. Tatis F. Jr.	22. Clement E.
3. Merrill J.	38. Lukes N.
2. Bogaerts X.	27. Guerrero Jr. V.
13. Machado M.	7. Okamoto K.
30. Sheets G.	5. Varsho D.
25. France T.	59. Valenzuela B.
9. Cronenworth J.	20. Keys S.
12. Campusano L.	8. Clase J.
24. Song Sung-Mun	0. Gimenez A.
Pitchers
33. Marquez G.	34. Gausman K.
Coaches
. Stammen C.	. Schneider J.

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, San Diego has had a series of home games.

Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 83:92. (average 4.4:4.8).

Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 3.4:4.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Toronto Blue Jays - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 52.96%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Padres
MLB
11.07.26	San Diego Padres - Toronto Blue Jays	8:7 ✺
10.07.26	San Diego Padres - Toronto Blue Jays	3:5 ✺
09.07.26	San Diego Padres - Arizona Diamondbacks	1:3 ✺
08.07.26	San Diego Padres - Arizona Diamondbacks	10:4 ✺
07.07.26	San Diego Padres - Arizona Diamondbacks	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWW
- Toronto Blue Jays
MLB
11.07.26	San Diego Padres - Toronto Blue Jays	8:7 ✺
10.07.26	San Diego Padres - Toronto Blue Jays	3:5 ✺
08.07.26	San Francisco Giants - Toronto Blue Jays	0:10 ✺
07.07.26	San Francisco Giants - Toronto Blue Jays	3:9 ✺
06.07.26	San Francisco Giants - Toronto Blue Jays	10:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
11.07.26	San Diego Padres - Toronto Blue Jays	8:7
10.07.26	San Diego Padres - Toronto Blue Jays	3:5
22.05.25	Toronto Blue Jays - San Diego Padres	7:6
21.05.25	Toronto Blue Jays - San Diego Padres	14:0
20.05.25	Toronto Blue Jays - San Diego Padres	3:0
21.04.24	San Diego Padres - Toronto Blue Jays	6:3
20.04.24	San Diego Padres - Toronto Blue Jays	2:5

San Diego Padres - Toronto Blue Jays: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide