Match Info
MLBDate: 10 May 2026, SundayLocation: Oracle Park (San Francisco, CA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | MLB.TV |
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San Francisco Giants |
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Pittsburgh Pirates |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 8.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
San Francisco Giants
53.7% | Pittsburgh Pirates
46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Francisco Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Francisco Giants than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (+2.4%)San Francisco Giants - Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Francisco (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - San Francisco (2.09) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Pittsburgh Pirates will win
(11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. San Francisco (votes: 4 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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51.  Lee Jung-Hoo
| 15.  Cruz O.
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1.  Arraez L.
| 5.  Lowe B.
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10. Schmitt C.
| 3.  Gonzales N.
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16. Devers R.
| 29. O'Hearn R.
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17.  Ramos H.
| 24. Ozuna M.
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2. Adames W.
| 2.  Horwitz S.
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26. Chapman M.
| 6. Griffin K.
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0. Gilbert D.
| 38. Yorke N.
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79. Rodriguez J. E.
| 32. Davis H.
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| Pitchers |
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54. Mahle T.
| 36. Chandler B.
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| Coaches |
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. Vitello T.
| . Kelly D.
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Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Francisco won 3.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Pittsburgh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, San Francisco has had a series of home games.Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Francisco won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 98:82. (average 4.9:4.1).Including home matches between the teams, San Francisco won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 43:47. (average 3.9:4.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Pittsburgh Pirates - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 49.41%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 09.05.26 | San Francisco Giants - Pittsburgh Pirates | 3:13 | | 08.05.26 | San Francisco Giants - Pittsburgh Pirates | 5:2 | | 06.08.25 | Pittsburgh Pirates - San Francisco Giants | 2:4 | | 05.08.25 | Pittsburgh Pirates - San Francisco Giants | 1:8 | | 04.08.25 | Pittsburgh Pirates - San Francisco Giants | 5:4 | | 30.07.25 | San Francisco Giants - Pittsburgh Pirates | 1:2 | | 29.07.25 | San Francisco Giants - Pittsburgh Pirates | 1:3 |
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