Match Info
MLBDate: 7 May 2026, ThursdayLocation: Chase Field (Phoenix, AZ)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
 World | MLB.TV |
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Arizona Diamondbacks |
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Pittsburgh Pirates |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.83 |
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2 |
 Watch |
 |
1.83 |
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1.98 |
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 |
1.9 |
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2.06 |
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 |
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Watch |
 |
1.85 |
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1.91 |
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 |
1.89 |
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2.04 |
Watch |
 |
1.94 |
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1.87 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(1.94) |
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1.98 ↑
(1.87) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Arizona Diamondbacks
51.3% | Pittsburgh Pirates
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arizona Diamondbacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arizona Diamondbacks than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (+1.1%)Arizona Diamondbacks - Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Arizona will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arizona: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5, OT - Pittsburgh (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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2.  Perdomo G.
| 15. Cruz O.
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4. Marte K.
| 5.  Lowe B.
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7. Carroll C.
| 10. Reynolds B.
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25. Del Castillo A.
| 29. O'Hearn R.
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6.  Vargas I.
| 2.  Horwitz S.
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11. Fernandez J.
| 6. Griffin K.
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1. Barrosa J.
| 19. Triolo J.
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8. McCann J.
| 28. Mangum J.
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5.  Thomas A.
| 14. Bart J.
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| Pitchers |
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23. Gallen Z.
| 23. Keller M.
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| Coaches |
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. Lovullo T.
| . Kelly D.
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Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arizona won 2.Arizona is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Pittsburgh is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arizona won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 84:87. (average 4.2:4.4).Including home matches between the teams, Arizona won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 51:43. (average 4.6:3.9).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 06.05.26 | Arizona Diamondbacks - Pittsburgh Pirates | 0:1 | | 05.05.26 | Arizona Diamondbacks - Pittsburgh Pirates | 9:0 | | 27.07.25 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Arizona Diamondbacks | 6:0 | | 26.07.25 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Arizona Diamondbacks | 2:0 | | 25.07.25 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Arizona Diamondbacks | 0:1 | | 28.05.25 | Arizona Diamondbacks - Pittsburgh Pirates | 1:10 | | 27.05.25 | Arizona Diamondbacks - Pittsburgh Pirates | 6:9 |
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