Match Info

MLB

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: T-Mobile Park (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Usa	Braves Vision, ESPN USA, NBC Sports California, NESN, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	Seattle Mariners		Houston Astros

	1	2
	1.76	2.01	Watch
	1.78	2.05
	1.79	2.02
	1.89	2.09
			Watch
	1.83	2.07
	1.85	2.09	Watch
	1.78	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.69)	2.05 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Mariners
53.1%

Houston Astros
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Houston Astros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Mariners than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Seattle Mariners - Houston Astros Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Houston will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
3. Crawford J.	27. Altuve J.
56. Arozarena R.	44. Alvarez Y.
8. Canzone D.	15. Paredes I.
29. Raleigh C.	21. Diaz Y.
44. Rodriguez J.	8. Walker C.
12. Naylor J.	26. Trammell T.
2. Young C.	11. Smith C.
99. Montes L.	28. Spence L.
31. Wilson W.	20. Allen N.
Pitchers
68. Kirby G.	70. Pecko E.
Coaches
. Wilson D.	. Espada J.

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 12th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 3.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Recently, Seattle has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Houston has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Seattle has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 110:82 (averaging 5.5:4.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Seattle against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 45:41 goals (averaging 5.6:5.1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Seattle Mariners - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 56.5%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Houston Astros - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.5%, but this team recently wins 51% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Mariners
MLB
22.09.26	Seattle Mariners - Houston Astros	0:7 ✺
20.09.26	Colorado Rockies - Seattle Mariners	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Colorado Rockies - Seattle Mariners	5:3 ✺
18.09.26	Colorado Rockies - Seattle Mariners	4:5 ✺
16.09.26	Los Angeles Angels - Seattle Mariners	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW
- Houston Astros
MLB
22.09.26	Seattle Mariners - Houston Astros	0:7 ✺
20.09.26	Houston Astros - Atlanta Braves	2:4 ✺
19.09.26	Houston Astros - Atlanta Braves	3:6 ✺
18.09.26	Houston Astros - Atlanta Braves	2:6 ✺
17.09.26	Houston Astros - Kansas City Royals	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
22.09.26	Seattle Mariners - Houston Astros	0:7
16.08.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	2:3
15.08.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	5:10
14.08.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	10:7
14.05.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	3:8
13.05.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	4:3
12.05.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	2:10

Seattle Mariners - Houston Astros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide