Match Info

MLB

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: T-Mobile Park (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	ESPN 3
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	MLB.TV


	Seattle Mariners		San Diego Padres

	1	2
	1.67	2.25	Watch
	1.66	2.22
	1.7	2.35
			Watch
	1.65	2.25	Watch
	1.7	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)	2.28 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Mariners
57.6%

San Diego Padres
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

San Diego Padres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Mariners than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). San Diego will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 1 - 33.3%). San Diego (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
3. Crawford J.	23. Tatis F. Jr.
44. Rodriguez J.	41. Andujar M.
12. Naylor J.	30. Sheets G.
56. Arozarena R.	13. Machado M.
20. Raley L.	2. Bogaerts X.
2. Young C.	3. Merrill J.
8. Canzone D.	5. Laureano R.
18. Garver M.	25. France T.
76. Rivas L.	54. Fermin F.
Pitchers
68. Kirby G.	55. Giolito L.
Coaches
. Wilson D.	. Stammen C.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.

Seattle will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 83:114. (average 4.2:5.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 44:65. (average 4.9:7.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Seattle Mariners - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 58.83%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.

San Diego Padres - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 41.17%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Mariners
MLB
16.05.26	Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres	4:7 ✺
15.05.26	Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres	0:2 ✺
14.05.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	3:8 ✺
13.05.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	4:3 ✺
12.05.26	Houston Astros - Seattle Mariners	2:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW
- San Diego Padres
MLB
16.05.26	Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres	4:7 ✺
15.05.26	Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres	0:2 ✺
14.05.26	Milwaukee Brewers - San Diego Padres	7:1 ✺
13.05.26	Milwaukee Brewers - San Diego Padres	1:3 ✺
12.05.26	Milwaukee Brewers - San Diego Padres	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
16.05.26	Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres	4:7
15.05.26	Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres	0:2
16.04.26	San Diego Padres - Seattle Mariners	5:2
15.04.26	San Diego Padres - Seattle Mariners	7:6
14.04.26	San Diego Padres - Seattle Mariners	4:1
MLB Spring Training
23.03.26	San Diego Padres - Seattle Mariners	10:3
05.03.26	Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres	6:27

Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide