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Current Win Probability
St. Louis Cardinals 51%
Chicago Cubs 49%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.5%
53.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
50.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Chicago Cubs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis Cardinals than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Cubs than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
St. Louis Cardinals - Chicago Cubs Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. St. Louis will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Chi Cubs will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chi Cubs: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chi Cubs (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5
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Lineups
Batters
26. Wetherholt J.
4. Crow-Armstrong P.
18. Walker J.
27. Suzuki S.
41. Burleson A.
29. Busch M.
48. Herrera I.
3. Bregman A.
21. Nootbaar L.
8. Happ I.
0. Winn M.
2. Hoerner N.
39. Torres B.
20. Conforto M.
33. Jordan B.
15. Kelly C.
27. Church N.
7. Swanson D.
Pitchers
53. Pallante A.
72. Assad J.
Coaches
. Marmol O.
. Counsell C.
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, St. Louis has had a series of home games.
Recently, Chi Cubs has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 68:109. (average 3.4:5.5).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:53. (average 2.6:4.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Chicago Cubs - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 53.5%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.