Match Info

MLB

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	MLB.TV


	Tampa Bay Rays		Cincinnati Reds

	1	2
	1.71	2.2	Watch
	1.69	2.16
	1.76	2.23
			Watch
	1.71	2.15
	1.76	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.8)	2.19 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rays
55.9%

Cincinnati Reds
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Tampa Bay Rays - Cincinnati Reds Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Tampa Bay (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 50%). Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
2. Diaz Y.	29. Friedl T.
8. Aranda J.	9. McLain M.
13. Caminero J.	44. De la Cruz E.
26. Vilade R.	27. Stewart S.
21. Deluca J.	28. Suarez E.
15. Williamson B.	31. Lowe N.
14. Simpson C.	7. Steer S.
40. Fortes N.	30. Benson W.
6. Walls T.	65. Higgins PJ
Pitchers
28. Martinez N.	55. Williamson B.
Coaches
. Cash K.	. Francona T.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1.

Tampa Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cincinnati is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 67:78. (average 3.5:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 3.7:3.6).

Outrights of MLB for now

Tampa Bay Rays: 22.3%

Last Results with these Odds

Tampa Bay Rays - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 53.29%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rays
MLB
21.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Cincinnati Reds	6:12 ✺
20.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Cincinnati Reds	1:6 ✺
19.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays	6:3 ✺
18.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays	7:8 ✺
17.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWL
- Cincinnati Reds
MLB
21.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Cincinnati Reds	6:12 ✺
20.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Cincinnati Reds	1:6 ✺
19.04.26	Minnesota Twins - Cincinnati Reds	4:7 ✺
18.04.26	Minnesota Twins - Cincinnati Reds	4:5 ✺
17.04.26	Minnesota Twins - Cincinnati Reds	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
21.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Cincinnati Reds	6:12
20.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Cincinnati Reds	1:6
27.07.25	Cincinnati Reds - Tampa Bay Rays	2:1
26.07.25	Cincinnati Reds - Tampa Bay Rays	6:2
25.07.25	Cincinnati Reds - Tampa Bay Rays	7:2
28.07.24	Tampa Bay Rays - Cincinnati Reds	2:1
27.07.24	Tampa Bay Rays - Cincinnati Reds	4:0

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