Match Info

MLB

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: PNC Park (Pittsburgh, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	Viaplay
World	MLB.TV


	Pittsburgh Pirates		Tampa Bay Rays

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.88	1.92
	1.93	2.01
			Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.9	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.82)	1.95 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Pirates
50.8%

Tampa Bay Rays
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Tampa Bay Rays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
28. Mangum J.	14. Simpson C.
3. Gonzales N.	13. Caminero J.
10. Reynolds B.	8. Aranda J.
24. Ozuna M.	2. Diaz Y.
15. Cruz O.	31. Mullins C.
38. Yorke N.	1. Palacios R.
6. Griffin K.	21. Deluca J.
14. Bart J.	9. Feduccia H.
25. Cook B.	6. Walls T.
Pitchers
23. Keller M.	18. McClanahan S.
Coaches
. Kelly D.	. Cash K.

Preview

4 extra innings played.

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 3.

In recent matches, Pittsburgh has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tampa Bay is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of home games.

Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 74:90. (average 3.7:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 53:42. (average 5.3:4.2).

Outrights of MLB for now

Tampa Bay Rays: 22.3%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB
18.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays	7:8 ✺
17.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays	5:1 ✺
16.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Washington Nationals	7:8 ✺
15.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Washington Nationals	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Washington Nationals	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWL
- Tampa Bay Rays
MLB
18.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays	7:8 ✺
17.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays	5:1 ✺
16.04.26	Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays	3:5 ✺
15.04.26	Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays	3:8 ✺
14.04.26	Chicago White Sox - Tampa Bay Rays	5:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
18.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays	7:8
17.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays	5:1
MLB Spring Training
15.03.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Pittsburgh Pirates	6:1
02.03.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays	4:1
MLB
02.04.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Pittsburgh Pirates	2:4
01.04.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Pittsburgh Pirates	7:0
31.03.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Pittsburgh Pirates	6:1

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