Match Info

MLB

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
World	MLB.TV


	Tampa Bay Rays		Minnesota Twins

	1	2
	1.67	2.25	Watch
	1.68	2.18
	1.72	2.32
			Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.71	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.76)	2.25 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rays
57.1%

Minnesota Twins
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Minnesota Twins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Twins than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Tampa Bay Rays - Minnesota Twins Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
14. Simpson C.	22. Lee B.
13. Caminero J.	9. Larnach T.
8. Aranda J.	56. Bell J.
2. Diaz Y.	27. Jeffers R.
17. Fraley J.	2. Clemens K.
15. Williamson B.	15. Keaschall L.
31. Mullins C.	38. Wallner M.
6. Walls T.	23. Lewis R.
9. Feduccia H.	30. Outman J.
Pitchers
22. Jax G.	24. Woods Richardson S.
Coaches
. Cash K.	. Shelton D.

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.

Tampa Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Minnesota is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Minnesota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.

Recently, Minnesota has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 99:69. (average 5:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 52:31. (average 4.3:2.6).

Outrights of MLB for now

Tampa Bay Rays: 22.3%

Last Results with these Odds

Minnesota Twins - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 45.19%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rays
MLB
25.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Minnesota Twins	6:1 ✺
24.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Minnesota Twins	6:2 ✺
22.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Cincinnati Reds	6:1 ✺
21.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Cincinnati Reds	6:12 ✺
20.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Cincinnati Reds	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLL
- Minnesota Twins
MLB
25.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Minnesota Twins	6:1 ✺
24.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Minnesota Twins	6:2 ✺
23.04.26	New York Mets - Minnesota Twins	10:8 ✺
22.04.26	New York Mets - Minnesota Twins	3:2 ✺
21.04.26	New York Mets - Minnesota Twins	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
25.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Minnesota Twins	6:1
24.04.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Minnesota Twins	6:2
05.04.26	Minnesota Twins - Tampa Bay Rays	1:7
04.04.26	Minnesota Twins - Tampa Bay Rays	1:7
03.04.26	Minnesota Twins - Tampa Bay Rays	10:4
MLB Spring Training
21.03.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Minnesota Twins	3:2
14.03.26	Minnesota Twins - Tampa Bay Rays	6:9

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