Match Info

MLB

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Nationals Park (Washington, DC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Usa	NBC Sports Bay Area, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	Washington Nationals		Pittsburgh Pirates

	1	2
	1.62	2.20	Watch
	1.70	2.20
	1.70	2.18
	1.71	2.31
			Watch
	1.68	2.25
	1.72	2.27	Watch
	1.70	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.79)	2.23 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 10.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Washington Nationals
56.8%

Pittsburgh Pirates
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Nationals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Nationals than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Washington Nationals - Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/E Runs - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Washington Nationals will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:6

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Lineups

Batters
29. Wood J.	6. Griffin K.
2. Garcia L.	5. Lowe B.
45. Mead C.	10. Reynolds B.
5. Abrams C.	55. Valdez E.
4. Lile D.	29. O'Hearn R.
3. Crews D.	3. Gonzales N.
8. Tena J.	13. Rodriguez E.
84. Vivas J.	37. Callihan T.
20. Ruiz K.	28. Mangum J.
Pitchers
24. Cavalli C.	36. Chandler B.
Coaches
. Butera B.	. Kelly D.

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Pittsburgh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 79:114. (average 4:5.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:43. (average 4.3:5.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 46.01%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Nationals
MLB
04.07.26	Washington Nationals - Pittsburgh Pirates	1:7 ✺
03.07.26	Washington Nationals - Pittsburgh Pirates	9:5 ✺
01.07.26	Boston Red Sox - Washington Nationals	2:10 ✺
30.06.26	Boston Red Sox - Washington Nationals	1:8 ✺
29.06.26	Boston Red Sox - Washington Nationals	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWL
- Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB
04.07.26	Washington Nationals - Pittsburgh Pirates	1:7 ✺
03.07.26	Washington Nationals - Pittsburgh Pirates	9:5 ✺
02.07.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates	1:6 ✺
01.07.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates	10:6 ✺
30.06.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
04.07.26	Washington Nationals - Pittsburgh Pirates	1:7
03.07.26	Washington Nationals - Pittsburgh Pirates	9:5
16.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Washington Nationals	7:8
15.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Washington Nationals	2:0
14.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Washington Nationals	4:5
13.04.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Washington Nationals	16:5
14.09.25	Washington Nationals - Pittsburgh Pirates	4:3

Washington Nationals - Pittsburgh Pirates: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide