Match Info
MLBDate: 2 July 2026, ThursdayLocation: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, PA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Czech-republic | Oneplay Sport 2, Oneplay Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 4 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | beIN Sports MAX 5 |
Hungary | Sport 2 |
Netherlands | ESPN 3 |
Norway | Viaplay |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Usa | NBC Sports Bay Area, SportsNet Pittsburgh |
World | MLB.TV |
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Philadelphia Phillies |
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Pittsburgh Pirates |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.72 |
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2.05 |
Watch |
 |
1.75 |
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2.10 |
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 |
1.79 |
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2.06 |
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 |
1.82 |
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2.18 |
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 |
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Watch |
 |
1.77 |
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2.13 |
Watch |
 |
1.80 |
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2.15 |
Watch |
 |
1.76 |
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2.07 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.77 ↓ (1.81) |
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2.11 ↑ (2.08) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 10.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Philadelphia Phillies 54.3% | Pittsburgh Pirates 45.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (+1.4%)Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 59.8% – 94.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/E Runs - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:6 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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7. Turner T.
| 28. Mangum J.
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12. Schwarber K.
| 5. Lowe B.
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3. Harper B.
| 10. Reynolds B.
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16. Marsh B.
| 55. Valdez E.
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28. Bohm A.
| 29. O'Hearn R.
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5. Stott B.
| 3. Gonzales N.
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17. Rincones G.
| 24. Ozuna M.
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2. Crawford J.
| 13. Rodriguez E.
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13. Marchan R.
| 19. Triolo J.
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| Pitchers |
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57. Rangel A.
| 17. Jones J.
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| Coaches |
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. Mattingly D.
| . Kelly D.
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Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 4.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 97:80. (average 4.9:4).Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 45:35. (average 5:3.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Philadelphia Phillies - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 53.51%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 01.07.26 | Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates | 10:6 | | 30.06.26 | Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates | 8:0 | | 29.06.26 | Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates | 7:11 | | 17.05.26 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies | 0:6 | | 16.05.26 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies | 9:11 | | 15.05.26 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies | 9:11 | | 08.06.25 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies | 2:1 |
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