Match Info

King Mindaugas Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Zalgirio Arena (Kaunas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Žalgiris Kaunas		Neptūnas

	1	2
	1.04	7.3	Watch
	1.03	6.46
	1.07	7.11	Watch
	1.06	7
	1.06	7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 (1.05)	6.97 ↑ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris Kaunas
86.9%

Neptūnas
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.6%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Žalgiris Kaunas - Neptūnas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 173.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Brazdeikis I.	21. Berucka A.
3. Francisco S.	6. Lomazs R.
10. Tubelis A.	25. Silins K.
1. Williams-Goss N.	1. Tarolis D.
7. Wright M.	11. Velicka A.
Substitutes
15. Birutis L.	8. Girdziunas M. (C)
9. Giedraitis D.	10. Kozys V.
12. Lo M.	77. Lesciauskas K.
17. Rubstavicius M.	16. Macijauskas M.
91. Sirvydis D.	13. Majauskas A.
14. Sleva D.	24. Waterman Z.
92. Ulanovas E. (C)
Coaches
. Masiulis T.	. Petrauskas G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 5.

Žalgiris is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Neptūnas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Žalgiris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Žalgiris is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1764:1481. (average 88.2:74.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 791:617. (average 87.9:68.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Kaunas
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
18.02.26	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Žalgiris Kaunas	67:91 ✺
15.02.26	Gargždai - Žalgiris Kaunas	63:69 ✺
Euroleague
13.02.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Hapoel Tel Aviv	93:82 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
08.02.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Neptūnas	87:76 ✺
Euroleague
06.02.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Žalgiris Kaunas	92:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL
- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
14.02.26	Rytas - Neptūnas	100:95 ✺
Eurocup
11.02.26	Neptūnas - Bahcesehir Koleji	86:91 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
08.02.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Neptūnas	87:76 ✺
Eurocup
04.02.26	Aris - Neptūnas	83:64 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
31.01.26	Neptūnas - Rytas	95:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
08.02.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Neptūnas	87:76
04.01.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Neptūnas	112:77
27.09.25	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Kaunas	71:84
26.05.25	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Kaunas	70:98
24.05.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Neptūnas	88:75
07.05.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Neptūnas	84:49
30.03.25	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Kaunas	67:80

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