Match Info

Euroleague - Round 27

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Basketbol Gelisim Merkezi (Istanbul)

Referee: Tsaroucha V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Anadolu Efes Pilsen		Žalgiris Kaunas

	1	2
	2	1.77	Watch
	2.04	1.78	Watch
	2.15	1.74
	2.11	1.79	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.06	1.82	Watch
	2.15	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.04)	1.77 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anadolu Efes Pilsen
46%

Žalgiris Kaunas
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anadolu Efes Pilsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Žalgiris Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anadolu Efes Pilsen than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anadolu Efes Pilsen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Kaunas than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Žalgiris Kaunas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Žalgiris Kaunas Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Anadolu Efes will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Žalgiris will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Anadolu Efes: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Anadolu Efes (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Žalgiris (votes: 12 - 52.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1, 3Q - Žalgiris (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 165.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Anadolu Efes (votes: 11 - 45.8%). Žalgiris (votes: 13 - 54.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Dozier P.J.	3. Francisco S.
3. Loyd J.	9. Giedraitis D.
24. Osmani E.	10. Tubelis A.
17. Poirier V.	92. Ulanovas E.
8. Weiler-Babb N.	7. Wright M.
Substitutes
1. Beaubois R.	15. Birutis L.
2. Hazer S.	8. Brazdeikis I.
88. Jones K.	51. Butkevicius A.
5. Lee S.	12. Lo M.
23. Mutaf D.	91. Sirvydis D.
21. Swider C.	14. Sleva D.
33. Yilmaz E.	1. Williams-Goss N.
Coaches
. Laso P.	. Masiulis T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anadolu Efes won 3.

In recent matches, Anadolu Efes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Žalgiris is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Žalgiris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anadolu Efes won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1642:1518. (average 82.1:75.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Anadolu Efes won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1016:927. (average 84.7:77.3).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Zalgiris Kaunas: 3.75% Anadolu Efes: 2.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
13	Zalgiris Kaunas	3	1	2	252:252
14	Anadolu Efes	3	1	2	248:250

Last Results with these Odds

Anadolu Efes Pilsen - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 47.29%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anadolu Efes Pilsen
Euroleague
03.02.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Valencia	107:90 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
01.02.26	Merkezefendi - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	87:80 ✺
Euroleague
29.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	79:62 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
25.01.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Bursaspor	95:80 ✺
Euroleague
22.01.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Olympiacos Piraeus	68:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL
- Žalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague
03.02.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - AS Monaco Basket	104:87 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
01.02.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Jonava	104:91 ✺
Euroleague
30.01.26	Baskonia - Žalgiris Kaunas	102:91 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
25.01.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Nevėžis Kedainiai	88:73 ✺
Euroleague
22.01.26	Olimpia Milano - Žalgiris Kaunas	82:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
17.12.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	64:87
Club Friendly Basketball
14.09.25	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Žalgiris Kaunas	69:90
Euroleague
11.04.25	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Žalgiris Kaunas	87:77
05.12.24	Žalgiris Kaunas - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	85:72
Club Friendly Basketball
15.09.24	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Žalgiris Kaunas	75:64
Euroleague
31.01.24	Žalgiris Kaunas - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	96:70
09.11.23	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Žalgiris Kaunas	86:82 OT

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