Match Info

Champions League - Winners stage - Round 6

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Uber Arena (Berlin)

Referee: Marques P. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1


	ALBA Berlin		AEK Athens

	1	2
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.65	2.12
	1.68	2.24
	1.68	2.08	Watch
	1.62	2.1
	1.66	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.74)	2.15 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ALBA Berlin
56.5%

AEK Athens
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ALBA Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ALBA Berlin than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ALBA Berlin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Athens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

ALBA Berlin - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. ALBA will win (votes: 1 - 25%). AEK will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - ALBA (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ALBA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Agbakoko N.	24. Bartley F.
34. Bean J.	33. Charalampopoulos V.
6. Delow M.	8. Feazell K.
7. Kayil J.	7. Flionis D. (C)
9. Mattisseck J. (C)	0. Gray R.
Substitutes
14. Echodas M.	11. Arsenopoulos N.
5. Griesel S.	2. Brown III G.
33. Hundt B.	4. Katsivelis D.
20. Nufer A.	19. Kuzminskas M.
3. O'Connell A.	9. Lekavicius L.
13. Roberts J.	21. Nunnally J.
11. Wood M.	1. Skordilis G.
Coaches
. Calles P.	. Sakota D.

Preview

ALBA is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

AEK is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

ALBA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, ALBA has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, ALBA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 80:88.

Outrights of Champions League Basketball for now

AEK Athens: 5.95% Alba Berlin: 2.89%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ALBA Berlin
German BBL
15.03.26	Mitteldeutscher - ALBA Berlin	99:68 ✺
Champions League Basketball
11.03.26	Karditsas - ALBA Berlin	71:76 ✺
German BBL
08.03.26	ALBA Berlin - s.Oliver Wurzburg	71:68 ✺
06.03.26	Heidelberg - ALBA Berlin	54:87 ✺
German Cup Basketball
22.02.26	Brose Bamberg - ALBA Berlin	74:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWWL
- AEK Athens BC
Greek Basket League A1
15.03.26	Panathinaikos - AEK Athens	103:78 ✺
Champions League Basketball
11.03.26	AEK Athens - Tofaş	96:88 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
07.03.26	AEK Athens - Promitheas Patras	102:85 ✺
Greek Cup Basketball
17.02.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens	81:67 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
14.02.26	PAOK - AEK Athens	71:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
28.01.26	AEK Athens - ALBA Berlin	88:80

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