Match Info

Champions League - Winners stage - Round 4

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Uber Arena (Berlin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Slovakia	Voyo


	ALBA Berlin		Tofaş

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.8
	1.42	2.71	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.42	2.88	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)	2.77 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ALBA Berlin
66.2%

Tofaş
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ALBA Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Tofaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ALBA Berlin than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tofaş than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ALBA Berlin - Tofaş Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ALBA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6, OT - Tofaş (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -5.5, OT - ALBA (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 167.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. ALBA (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tofaş (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Agbakoko N.	25. Besson H.
6. Delow M.	22. Blazevic M.
33. Hundt B.	30. Korkmaz F.
9. Mattisseck J. (C)	2. Perez-Kaufmann A.
11. Wood M.	3. Saybir Y.
Substitutes
34. Bean J.	1. Cengiz O.
14. Echodas M.	0. Floyd J.
5. Griesel S.	8. Gecim T. (C)
15. Hermannsson M.	11. Kabaca E.
7. Kayil J.	15. Kidd L.
3. O'Connell A.	21. Lewis M.
13. Roberts J.	5. Malic Whaley S.
Coaches
. Calles P.	. Rajkovic E.

Preview

ALBA is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tofaş is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

ALBA is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that ALBA will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, ALBA won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 396:344. (average 99:86).

Including home match between the teams, ALBA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 107:91.

Outrights of Champions League Basketball for now

Alba Berlin: 2.89%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ALBA Berlin
German BBL
08.02.26	ALBA Berlin - Rasta Vechta	84:82 ✺
Champions League Basketball
04.02.26	ALBA Berlin - Karditsas	84:80 ✺
German BBL
02.02.26	Trier - ALBA Berlin	92:99 ✺
Champions League Basketball
28.01.26	AEK Athens - ALBA Berlin	88:80 ✺
German BBL
25.01.26	ALBA Berlin - Brose Bamberg	87:82 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW
- Tofas S.K.
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
07.02.26	Tofaş - Mersin SK	83:88 ✺
Champions League Basketball
03.02.26	Tofaş - AEK Athens	90:93 OT ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
31.01.26	Türk Telekom BK - Tofaş	95:78 ✺
Champions League Basketball
27.01.26	Karditsas - Tofaş	79:93 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
24.01.26	Tofaş - Galatasaray	78:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
20.01.26	Tofaş - ALBA Berlin	90:94
Club Friendly Basketball
15.09.24	Tofaş - ALBA Berlin	62:89
Eurocup
07.11.18	Tofaş - ALBA Berlin	101:106 OT (92:92)
02.10.18	ALBA Berlin - Tofaş	107:91

ALBA Berlin - Tofaş: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide