Match Info

Euroleague - Round 32

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Uber Arena (Berlin)

Referee: Balak A. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 8
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek TV app
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Italy	Sky Sport Uno
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Spain	M+ Deportes 8
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	ALBA Berlin		Virtus Bologna

	1	2
	1.71	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.71	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.34	Watch
	1.7	2.2
	1.73	2.18	Watch
	1.71	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.97)	2.22 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ALBA Berlin
56.7%

Virtus Bologna
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ALBA Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ALBA Berlin's performance.

Virtus Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Bologna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ALBA Berlin than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.1%	0%	21.9%

ALBA Berlin - Virtus Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: ALBA Berlin will win (25 of 32 users predict this - 78.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.81% – 92.45%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Bean J.	8. Clyburn W.
23. Baker R.	33. Polonara A.
10. Schneider T.	21. Shengelia T.
3. Spagnolo M.	0. Cordinier I.
15. Hermannsson M.	6. Pajola A.
Substitutes
6. Delow M.	45. Akele N.
9. Mattisseck J.	3. Belinelli M.
33. McCormack D.	23. Hackett D.
7. Mcdowell-White W.	1. Holiday J.
1. Procida G.	30. Morgan M.
25. Rapieque E.	41. Zizic A.
11. Thomas M.
Coaches
. Calles P.	. Ivanovic D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches ALBA won 1.

Recent matches ALBA is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Virtus Bologna has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Virtus Bologna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Virtus Bologna have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Virtus Bologna: Mouhamet D. (Inactive)

Last 6 head-to-head matches ALBA won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 460:529 (average 76.7:88.2).

Including matches at home between the teams ALBA won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 218:269 (average 72.7:89.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ALBA Berlin
Euroleague
25.03.25	Partizan Belgrade - ALBA Berlin	85:71 ✺
German BBL
23.03.25	ALBA Berlin - s.Oliver Wurzburg	80:84 ✺
Euroleague
21.03.25	Panathinaikos - ALBA Berlin	91:81 ✺
German BBL
16.03.25	Lowen Braunschweig - ALBA Berlin	73:108 ✺
Euroleague
13.03.25	ALBA Berlin - Baskonia	97:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWW
- Virtus Bologna
Euroleague
26.03.25	Crvena Zvezda - Virtus Bologna	88:52 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
22.03.25	Trieste - Virtus Bologna	85:78 ✺
Euroleague
20.03.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Virtus Bologna	77:67 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
16.03.25	Napoli Basket - Virtus Bologna	93:88 ✺
Euroleague
13.03.25	Virtus Bologna - Real Madrid	67:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
04.12.24	Virtus Bologna - ALBA Berlin	88:90 OT
05.01.24	ALBA Berlin - Virtus Bologna	68:83
18.10.23	Virtus Bologna - ALBA Berlin	87:76
Club Friendly Basketball
17.09.23	ALBA Berlin - Virtus Bologna	76:90
Euroleague
09.03.23	ALBA Berlin - Virtus Bologna	74:96
14.12.22	Virtus Bologna - ALBA Berlin	85:76

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