Match Info

Euroleague - Round 18

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Salle Gaston Medecin (Monaco) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	20:30	Max Sport 3
Croatia	19:30	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	19:30	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 4
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	20:30	Veikkaus TV
France	19:30	SKWeek App
Germany	19:30	Magenta Sport
Greece	20:30	Nova Sports 4
Israel	20:30	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	19:30	Sky Sport Arena
Peru	13:30	Movistar Deportes
Poland	19:30	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	18:30	Sport TV3
Russia	21:30	Okko Sport
Serbia	19:30	Arena Premium 4
Spain	19:30	M+ Deportes, Movistar Plus+
Turkey	21:30	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	20:30	Setanta Sports+
International	18:30	EuroLeague TV


	AS Monaco Basket		Real Madrid

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.52	2.55	Watch
	1.59	2.49	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.55	2.55	Watch
	1.58	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)	2.49 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AS Monaco Basket
61.7%

Real Madrid
38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for AS Monaco Basket have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Real Madrid have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AS Monaco Basket than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

AS Monaco Basket - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 30 - 85.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 74.1% – 97.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -8.5, OT - Real Madrid (5.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 169.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 3 - 12%). Real Madrid (votes: 22 - 88%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Blossomgame J.	6. Abalde A.
11. Diallo A.	7. Campazzo F.
55. James M.	11. Hezonja M.
0. Okobo E.	9. Procida G.
10. Theis D.	22. Tavares E.
Substitutes
23. Begarin J.	14. Deck G.
13. Hayes K.	16. Garuba U.
6. Michineau D.	1. Kramer D.
33. Mirotic N.	25. Len A.
26. Nedovic N.	0. Lyles T.
32. Strazel M.	12. Maledon T.
22. Tarpey T.	8. Okeke C.
Coaches
. Spanoulis V.	. Scariolo S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Monaco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Monaco will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 751:784. (average 83.4:87.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 350:334. (average 87.5:83.5).

Last Results with these Odds

AS Monaco Basket - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 61.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco Basket
French LNB
23.12.25	Cholet Basket - AS Monaco Basket	72:95 ✺
21.12.25	AS Monaco Basket - Nanterre	105:98 OT ✺
Euroleague
19.12.25	AS Monaco Basket - Bayern München	103:77 ✺
17.12.25	Baskonia - AS Monaco Basket	85:73 ✺
French LNB
14.12.25	AS Monaco Basket - Strasbourg	88:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW
- Real Madrid basketball
Spanish ACB League
20.12.25	Força Lleida CE - Real Madrid	81:88 ✺
Euroleague
18.12.25	Real Madrid - Paris	95:90 ✺
16.12.25	Olimpia Milano - Real Madrid	89:82 ✺
Spanish ACB League
14.12.25	Real Madrid - Girona	112:76 ✺
Euroleague
11.12.25	Real Madrid - Baskonia	94:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
31.01.25	AS Monaco Basket - Real Madrid	77:73
19.12.24	Real Madrid - AS Monaco Basket	94:72
Club Friendly Basketball
11.09.24	Real Madrid - AS Monaco Basket	77:75
Euroleague
19.01.24	AS Monaco Basket - Real Madrid	98:76
16.11.23	Real Madrid - AS Monaco Basket	91:73
03.02.23	AS Monaco Basket - Real Madrid	91:95
08.12.22	Real Madrid - AS Monaco Basket	94:95 OT (88:88)

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