What is the expert prediction for AS Monaco Basket vs Virtus Bologna?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for AS Monaco Basket vs Virtus Bologna. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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AS Monaco Basket vs Virtus Bologna Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, January 30, 2026)

Match Info

Euroleague - Round 25

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Salle Gaston Medecin (Monaco)

Referee: Bittner S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Israel	5 LIVE Israel, Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	EuroLeague TV


	AS Monaco Basket		Virtus Bologna

	1	2
	1.15	5.25	Watch
	1.26	3.9
	1.16	5.25	Watch
	1.18	5.25
	1.23	4.65	Watch
	1.15	4.7
	1.17	5.52	Watch
	1.12	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.21)	5.03 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AS Monaco Basket
81%

Virtus Bologna
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.7%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AS Monaco Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Virtus Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -9.5, OT - Monaco (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 174.5, OT - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 93:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Blossomgame J.	21. Alston Jr. D.
11. Diallo A.	31. Diarra A.
55. James M.	34. Jallow K.
0. Okobo E.	7. Niang S.
10. Theis D.	1. Vildoza L.
Substitutes
23. Begarin J.	8. Accorsi M.
13. Hayes K.	45. Akele N.
6. Michineau D.	22. Canka A.
33. Mirotic N.	35. Diouf M.
26. Nedovic N.	24. Ferrari F.
32. Strazel M.	23. Hackett D.
22. Tarpey T.	30. Morgan M.
Coaches
. Spanoulis V.	. Ivanovic D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Virtus Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Monaco is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 863:863. (average 78.5:78.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 381:391. (average 76.2:78.2).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	L
10	Monaco	35	19	16	3138:3035
17	Virtus Bologna	34	13	21	2788:2939

Last Results with these Odds

AS Monaco Basket - the odds 1.21 are the expected chance of winning is 79.7%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco Basket
French LNB
25.01.26	Saint-Quentin - AS Monaco Basket	73:98 ✺
Euroleague
22.01.26	Real Madrid - AS Monaco Basket	90:78 ✺
20.01.26	AS Monaco Basket - Crvena Zvezda	96:100 OT ✺
French LNB
17.01.26	AS Monaco Basket - Limoges	99:88 ✺
Euroleague
15.01.26	Paris - AS Monaco Basket	87:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWW
- Virtus Bologna
Italian Lega A Basketball
26.01.26	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Virtus Bologna	74:84 ✺
Euroleague
23.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Crvena Zvezda	93:102 ✺
21.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Fenerbahçe	80:85 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
18.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Treviso Basket	88:77 ✺
Euroleague
15.01.26	Dubai - Virtus Bologna	72:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
15.10.25	Virtus Bologna - AS Monaco Basket	77:73
23.01.25	Virtus Bologna - AS Monaco Basket	80:86
18.10.24	AS Monaco Basket - Virtus Bologna	101:85
09.02.24	Virtus Bologna - AS Monaco Basket	78:80
13.10.23	AS Monaco Basket - Virtus Bologna	59:83
16.03.23	AS Monaco Basket - Virtus Bologna	81:68
07.10.22	Virtus Bologna - AS Monaco Basket	66:83

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