Match Info

Lega A - Round 17

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: PalaRadi (Cremona)

Referee: Catani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Italy	LBA TV


	Vanoli-Braga Cremona		Virtus Bologna

	1	2
			Watch
	3.05	1.36
	2.95	1.39
	3.04	1.36	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.1	1.39	Watch
	3.15	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.87)	1.36 (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanoli-Braga Cremona
30.5%

Virtus Bologna
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanoli-Braga Cremona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Virtus Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanoli-Braga Cremona than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vanoli-Braga Cremona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus Bologna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Vanoli Braga Cremona - Virtus Bologna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5, OT - Cremona (2.00) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

O/U 159.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Virtus Bologna will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Virtus Bologna will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremona (votes: 3 - 30%). Virtus Bologna (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Anigbogu I.	8. Accorsi M.
7. Casarin D.	45. Akele N.
3. Jones T.	21. Alston Jr. D.
46. Ndiaye O.	7. Niang S.
2. Willis P.	1. Vildoza L.
Substitutes
23. Burns C.	22. Canka A.
33. De Gregori S.	31. Diarra A.
42. Durham A.	35. Diouf M.
12. Galli F.	24. Ferrari F.
8. Grant S.	23. Hackett D.
16. Veronesi G.	30. Morgan M.
	6. Pajola A.
Coaches
. Brotto P.	. Ivanovic D.

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cremona won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cremona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Virtus Bologna is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cremona won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1560:1572. (average 78:78.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cremona won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 707:696. (average 78.6:77.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Virtus Bologna	2	2	0	188:158	4

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Bologna - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 67.85%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanoli-Braga Cremona
Italian Lega A Basketball
17.01.26	Basket Trento - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	85:94 ✺
11.01.26	Udine - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	82:75 ✺
04.01.26	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Reggiana	71:67 ✺
29.12.25	Olimpia Milano - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	91:74 ✺
21.12.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Derthona Basket Tortona	71:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLL
- Virtus Bologna
Euroleague
23.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Crvena Zvezda	93:102 ✺
21.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Fenerbahçe	80:85 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
18.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Treviso Basket	88:77 ✺
Euroleague
15.01.26	Dubai - Virtus Bologna	72:80 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
11.01.26	Venezia - Virtus Bologna	75:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
20.10.25	Virtus Bologna - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	69:86
20.01.25	Virtus Bologna - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	81:63
26.10.24	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Virtus Bologna	69:74
14.04.24	Virtus Bologna - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	93:85
05.11.23	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Virtus Bologna	93:83
29.01.22	Virtus Bologna - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	79:71
12.12.21	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Virtus Bologna	75:87

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