Match Info
Euroleague - Round 24Date: 22 January 2026, ThursdayLocation: Movistar Arena (Madrid)Referee: Kardum L. (Cro)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4 |
Europe | Go3 Baltic Euroleague |
France | SKWeek App |
Germany | Magenta Sport |
Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
Israel | Sport 5 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
World | EuroLeague TV |
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Real Madrid |
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AS Monaco Basket |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 173.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Real Madrid 61.9% | AS Monaco Basket 38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)AS Monaco Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AS Monaco Basket than the current prediction. (+3.9%)Real Madrid - AS Monaco Basket Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -3.5, OT - Real Madrid (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Real Madrid will win
(20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Monaco (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:85 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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11. Hezonja M.
| 11. Diallo A.
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8. Okeke C.
| 33. Mirotic N.
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22. Tavares E.
| 10. Theis D.
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6. Abalde A.
| 55. James M.
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7. Campazzo F.
| 0. Okobo E.
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| Substitutes |
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14. Deck G.
| 23. Begarin J.
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24. Feliz A.
| 4. Blossomgame J.
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16. Garuba U.
| 13. Hayes K.
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25. Len A.
| 6. Michineau D.
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23. Llull S.
| 26. Nedovic N.
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0. Lyles T.
| 32. Strazel M.
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12. Maledon T.
| 22. Tarpey T.
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| Coaches |
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. Scariolo S.
| . Spanoulis V.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 2.Real Madrid is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).Monaco is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Recently, Real Madrid has had a series of home games. Real Madrid will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 879:851. (average 87.9:85.1).Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 450:401. (average 90:80.2).
Outrights of Euroleague for now
Real Madrid: 8.19%
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | |
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| 14 | Real Madrid | 4 | 1 | 3 | 345:350 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Euroleague | | | 26.12.25 | AS Monaco Basket - Real Madrid | 100:95 | | 31.01.25 | AS Monaco Basket - Real Madrid | 77:73 | | 19.12.24 | Real Madrid - AS Monaco Basket | 94:72 | | Club Friendly Basketball | | | 11.09.24 | Real Madrid - AS Monaco Basket | 77:75 | | Euroleague | | | 19.01.24 | AS Monaco Basket - Real Madrid | 98:76 | | 16.11.23 | Real Madrid - AS Monaco Basket | 91:73 | | 03.02.23 | AS Monaco Basket - Real Madrid | 91:95 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;