Match Info

Euroleague - Round 22

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: LDLC Arena (Lyon)

Referee: Udyanskyy E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 6
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	ASVEL Basket		Hapoel Tel Aviv

	1	2
	3.75	1.26	Watch
	3.7	1.28	Watch
	3.53	1.34	Watch
	3.3	1.29
	3.84	1.29	Watch
	3.75	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.51)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASVEL Basket
26.1%

Hapoel Tel Aviv
73.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

72.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASVEL Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Hapoel Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASVEL Basket than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ASVEL Basket, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Tel Aviv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

ASVEL Basket - Hapoel Tel Aviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. ASVEL will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ASVEL: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 169.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +7.5 - ASVEL (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): ASVEL Basket will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. ASVEL (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Ajinca M.	3. Bryant E.
00. Eboua P.	17. Malcolm C.
3. Harrison S.	22. Micic V.
94. Traore A.	0. Motley J.
30. Watson G.	25. Oturu D.
Substitutes
2. Atamna A.	2. Blakeney A.
7. Heurtel T.	41. Ginat T.
23. Lighty D.	1. Jones C.
10. Massa B.	26. Madar Y.
24. Ndiaye M.	21. Odiase T.
1. Seljaas Z.	10. Timor B.
32. Vautier B.	24. Wainright I.
Coaches
. Poupet P.	. Itoudis D.

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hapoel Tel Aviv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Hapoel Tel Aviv is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, ASVEL won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 80:87.

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Hapoel Tel Aviv: 5.29% Lyon-Villeurbanne: 0.96%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
11	Hapoel Tel Aviv	4	2	2	349:357
13	Lyon-Villeurbanne	4	2	2	353:377

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASVEL Basket
French LNB
13.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Boulazac	94:77 ✺
11.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Paris	93:98 OT ✺
Euroleague
09.01.26	Baskonia - ASVEL Basket	78:73 ✺
06.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Real Madrid	69:80 ✺
30.12.25	ASVEL Basket - Paris	94:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW
- Hapoel Tel Aviv BC
Israeli Basketball Super League
13.01.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Galil Elyon	98:66 ✺
11.01.26	Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan - Hapoel Tel Aviv	81:91 ✺
Euroleague
06.01.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Dubai	85:60 ✺
Israeli Basketball Super League
03.01.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Jerusalem	77:92 ✺
Euroleague
30.12.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Žalgiris Kaunas	80:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
04.12.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - ASVEL Basket	87:80

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