Match Info

Euroleague - Round 20

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: LDLC Arena (Lyon)

Referee: Theis C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Peru	Movistar Deportes
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Spain	M+ Deportes
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	ASVEL Basket		Real Madrid

	1	2
	3.55	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.53	1.34	Watch
	3.3	1.29
	3.63	1.31	Watch
	3.6	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (4)	1.31 ↑ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASVEL Basket
27.1%

Real Madrid
72.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

76%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASVEL Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

ASVEL Basket - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. ASVEL will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ASVEL: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. ASVEL (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Real Madrid (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -7.5, OT - ASVEL (7.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 174.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. ASVEL (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Real Madrid (votes: 5 - 35.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Harrison S.	6. Abalde A.
7. Heurtel T.	7. Campazzo F.
23. Lighty D.	11. Hezonja M.
24. Ndiaye M.	8. Okeke C.
32. Vautier B.	22. Tavares E.
Substitutes
2. Atamna A.	24. Feliz A.
0. Eboua P.	16. Garuba U.
11. Jackson E.	1. Kramer D.
10. Massa B.	25. Len A.
1. Seljaas Z.	0. Lyles T.
94. Traore A.	12. Maledon T.
30. Watson G.	9. Procida G.
Coaches
. Poupet P.	. Scariolo S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Real Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real Madrid is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 963:1070. (average 74.1:82.3).

Including home matches between the teams, ASVEL won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 449:478. (average 74.8:79.7).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Real Madrid: 8.19% Lyon-Villeurbanne: 0.99%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
12	Lyon-Villeurbanne	4	2	2	353:377
15	Real Madrid	4	1	3	345:350

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.26 are the expected chance of winning is 76.05%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASVEL Basket
Euroleague
30.12.25	ASVEL Basket - Paris	94:89 ✺
French LNB
26.12.25	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - ASVEL Basket	81:79 ✺
Euroleague
23.12.25	ASVEL Basket - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	103:99 OT ✺
French LNB
21.12.25	Le Portel - ASVEL Basket	88:98 ✺
Euroleague
19.12.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - ASVEL Basket	107:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWL
- Real Madrid basketball
Spanish ACB League
04.01.26	Real Madrid - Barcelona	100:105 ✺
Euroleague
02.01.26	Real Madrid - Dubai	107:93 ✺
Spanish ACB League
30.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Real Madrid	80:91 ✺
28.12.25	Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga	91:82 ✺
Euroleague
26.12.25	AS Monaco Basket - Real Madrid	100:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
09.10.25	Real Madrid - ASVEL Basket	85:72
20.03.25	Real Madrid - ASVEL Basket	81:70
03.12.24	ASVEL Basket - Real Madrid	80:78
01.02.24	Real Madrid - ASVEL Basket	86:79
28.12.23	ASVEL Basket - Real Madrid	76:77
03.03.23	ASVEL Basket - Real Madrid	71:75
22.12.22	Real Madrid - ASVEL Basket	92:73

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