Match Info

Euroleague - Round 21

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Fernando Buesa Arena (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Porobic D. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 6
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Baskonia		ASVEL Basket

	1	2
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.35	3.2	Watch
	1.39	3.21	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.37	3.25	Watch
	1.38	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.31)	3.13 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baskonia
69.6%

ASVEL Basket
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baskonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ASVEL Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ASVEL Basket than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Baskonia - ASVEL Basket Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Baskonia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -6, OT - Baskonia (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +9.5, OT - ASVEL (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Baskonia will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Baskonia (votes: 3 - 75%). ASVEL (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Diop K.	3. Harrison S.
77. Joksimovic S.	7. Heurtel T.
7. Kurucs R.	23. Lighty D.
17. Radzevicius G.	1. Seljaas Z.
2. Simmons K.	32. Vautier B.
Substitutes
1. Diakite M.	8. Ajinca M.
11. Forrest T.	0. Eboua P.
25. Frisch C.	11. Jackson E.
9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.	10. Massa B.
3. Nowell M.	24. Ndiaye M.
5. Omoruyi E.	94. Traore A.
10. Spagnolo M.	30. Watson G.
Coaches
. Galbiati P.	. Poupet P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

ASVEL may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Baskonia is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1106:1038. (average 85.1:79.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Baskonia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 581:474. (average 96.8:79).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Lyon-Villeurbanne: 0.99%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
12	Lyon-Villeurbanne	4	2	2	353:377
14	Baskonia	3	1	2	263:293

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saski Baskonia
Euroleague
07.01.26	Bayern München - Baskonia	96:89 ✺
Spanish ACB League
04.01.26	Baskonia - BC Andorra	99:92 ✺
Euroleague
02.01.26	Baskonia - Fenerbahçe	93:108 ✺
Spanish ACB League
29.12.25	CB Breogán - Baskonia	100:103 ✺
27.12.25	Baskonia - San Pablo Burgos	89:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWW
- ASVEL Basket
Euroleague
06.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Real Madrid	69:80 ✺
30.12.25	ASVEL Basket - Paris	94:89 ✺
French LNB
26.12.25	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - ASVEL Basket	81:79 ✺
Euroleague
23.12.25	ASVEL Basket - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	103:99 OT ✺
French LNB
21.12.25	Le Portel - ASVEL Basket	88:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
03.10.25	ASVEL Basket - Baskonia	102:95
04.04.25	Baskonia - ASVEL Basket	111:75
18.10.24	ASVEL Basket - Baskonia	76:69
08.02.24	Baskonia - ASVEL Basket	94:80
17.11.23	ASVEL Basket - Baskonia	81:88
06.04.23	Baskonia - ASVEL Basket	120:100
28.10.22	ASVEL Basket - Baskonia	87:61

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