Match Info

NCAA

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Alabama State Hornets		Alcorn State Braves

	1	2
	1.23	4
	1.23	3.8
	1.28	3.72
	1.32	3.13	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.3	3.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.34)	3.6 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 142.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alabama State Hornets
73.9%

Alcorn State Braves
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alabama State Hornets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alabama State Hornets's performance.

Alcorn State Braves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcorn State Braves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alabama State Hornets than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorn State Braves than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Alabama State Hornets - Alcorn State Braves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:67

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alabama State won 2.

Alabama State is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alcorn State has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alabama State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alabama State is considered a favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Alabama State won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 947:921. (average 59.2:57.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Alabama State won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 618:557. (average 61.8:55.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alabama State Hornets basketball
NCAA College Basketball
05.03.26	Alabama State Hornets - Grambling State Tigers	63:65 ✺
03.03.26	Alabama State Hornets - Southern University Jaguars	64:71 ✺
28.02.26	Alabama A&M Bulldogs - Alabama State Hornets	88:89 ✺
21.02.26	Florida A&M Rattlers - Alabama State Hornets	76:63 ✺
19.02.26	Bethune-Cookman Wildcats - Alabama State Hornets	82:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLL
- Alcorn State Braves basketball
NCAA College Basketball
05.03.26	Alcorn State Braves - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	48:83 ✺
03.03.26	Alcorn State Braves - Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils	67:64 ✺
28.02.26	Prairie View A&M Panthers - Alcorn State Braves	72:51 ✺
26.02.26	Texas Southern Tigers - Alcorn State Braves	92:87 OT ✺
21.02.26	Alcorn State Braves - Jackson State Tigers	83:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
12.01.26	Alabama State Hornets - Alcorn State Braves	81:66
13.01.25	Alcorn State Braves - Alabama State Hornets	67:65
13.01.24	Alabama State Hornets - Alcorn State Braves	55:53
09.01.23	Alcorn State Braves - Alabama State Hornets	92:76
10.01.22	Alabama State Hornets - Alcorn State Braves	60:70
24.02.21	Alcorn State Braves - Alabama State Hornets	68:59
23.01.21	Alabama State Hornets - Alcorn State Braves	52:57

Alabama State Hornets - Alcorn State Braves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide