Match Info

Euroleague - Round 26

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Zalgirio Arena (Kaunas)

Referee: Udyanskyy E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Žalgiris Kaunas		AS Monaco Basket

	1	2
	1.71	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.08	Watch
	1.8	2.08
	1.8	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.78	2.1	Watch
	1.76	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.94)	2.08 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris Kaunas
54.1%

AS Monaco Basket
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Žalgiris Kaunas's performance.

AS Monaco Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AS Monaco Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Kaunas than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Žalgiris Kaunas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AS Monaco Basket than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AS Monaco Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	0%	31.6%

Žalgiris Kaunas - AS Monaco Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Monaco will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 168.5, OT - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -2, OT - Žalgiris (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Žalgiris Kaunas will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris (votes: 16 - 80%). Monaco (votes: 4 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Francisco S.	4. Blossomgame J.
9. Giedraitis D.	11. Diallo A.
10. Tubelis A.	55. James M.
92. Ulanovas E.	0. Okobo E.
7. Wright M.	10. Theis D.
Substitutes
15. Birutis L.	23. Begarin J.
8. Brazdeikis I.	6. Michineau D.
51. Butkevicius A.	33. Mirotic N.
12. Lo M.	26. Nedovic N.
91. Sirvydis D.	32. Strazel M.
14. Sleva D.	22. Tarpey T.
1. Williams-Goss N.
Coaches
. Masiulis T.	. Spanoulis V.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 2.

Žalgiris is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Monaco's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Žalgiris will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 725:737. (average 80.6:81.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 319:322. (average 79.8:80.5).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Zalgiris Kaunas: 3.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
13	Zalgiris Kaunas	3	1	2	252:252

Last Results with these Odds

Žalgiris Kaunas - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.68%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Kaunas
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
01.02.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Jonava	104:91 ✺
Euroleague
30.01.26	Baskonia - Žalgiris Kaunas	102:91 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
25.01.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Nevėžis Kedainiai	88:73 ✺
Euroleague
22.01.26	Olimpia Milano - Žalgiris Kaunas	82:86 ✺
20.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Žalgiris Kaunas	77:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWW
- AS Monaco Basket
French LNB
01.02.26	AS Monaco Basket - Le Portel	113:86 ✺
Euroleague
30.01.26	AS Monaco Basket - Virtus Bologna	82:84 ✺
French LNB
25.01.26	Saint-Quentin - AS Monaco Basket	73:98 ✺
Euroleague
22.01.26	Real Madrid - AS Monaco Basket	90:78 ✺
20.01.26	AS Monaco Basket - Crvena Zvezda	96:100 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
01.10.25	AS Monaco Basket - Žalgiris Kaunas	84:89
25.03.25	AS Monaco Basket - Žalgiris Kaunas	96:86 OT
01.11.24	Žalgiris Kaunas - AS Monaco Basket	63:62
04.04.24	AS Monaco Basket - Žalgiris Kaunas	69:66
08.12.23	Žalgiris Kaunas - AS Monaco Basket	79:83
29.03.23	Žalgiris Kaunas - AS Monaco Basket	79:70
29.12.22	AS Monaco Basket - Žalgiris Kaunas	84:82

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