Match Info

Euroleague - Round 24

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Unipol Forum (Milan)

Referee: Bissuel T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Olimpia Milano		Žalgiris Kaunas

	1	2
	1.56	2.4	Watch
	1.56	2.45
	1.52	2.55	Watch
	1.59	2.49	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.59	2.45	Watch
	1.58	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.37)	2.43 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Milano
60.8%

Žalgiris Kaunas
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Milano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olimpia Milano's form might have worsened.

Žalgiris Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Žalgiris Kaunas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Milano than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Kaunas than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Olimpia Milano - Žalgiris Kaunas Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Olimpia Milano will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Žalgiris will win (votes: 12 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris: 59.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5, OT - Žalgiris (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 167.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Žalgiris Kaunas will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Brooks A.	8. Brazdeikis I.
3. Ellis Q.	3. Francisco S.
16. LeDay Z.	9. Giedraitis D.
32. Nebo J.	10. Tubelis A.
31. Shields S.	7. Wright M.
Substitutes
10. Bolmaro L.	15. Birutis L.
6. Booker D.	51. Butkevicius A.
2. Brown L.	12. Lo M.
42. Dunston B.	17. Rubstavicius M.
23. Guduric M.	91. Sirvydis D.
1. Mannion N.	14. Sleva D.
17. Ricci G.	92. Ulanovas E.
Coaches
. Poeta G.	. Masiulis T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia Milano won 2.

In recent matches, Olimpia Milano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Žalgiris is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Olimpia Milano will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia Milano won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1528:1586. (average 76.4:79.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia Milano won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 673:707. (average 74.8:78.6).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Zalgiris Kaunas: 3.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
13	Zalgiris Kaunas	3	1	2	252:252
20	Olimpia Milano	4	1	3	318:360

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Milano - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 68.29%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Milano
Euroleague
20.01.26	Real Madrid - Olimpia Milano	106:77 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
17.01.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Olimpia Milano	78:87 ✺
Euroleague
15.01.26	Olimpia Milano - Crvena Zvezda	96:104 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
12.01.26	Napoli Basket - Olimpia Milano	71:77 ✺
Euroleague
09.01.26	Olimpia Milano - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	87:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW
- Žalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague
20.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Žalgiris Kaunas	77:96 ✺
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
17.01.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Jonava	89:63 ✺
Euroleague
15.01.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Žalgiris Kaunas	100:97 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
11.01.26	Šiauliai - Žalgiris Kaunas	71:75 ✺
Euroleague
09.01.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Crvena Zvezda	99:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
16.10.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Olimpia Milano	78:89
06.02.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Olimpia Milano	87:89
17.10.24	Olimpia Milano - Žalgiris Kaunas	82:85
28.03.24	Žalgiris Kaunas - Olimpia Milano	87:73
30.11.23	Olimpia Milano - Žalgiris Kaunas	70:83
13.01.23	Olimpia Milano - Žalgiris Kaunas	61:66
18.11.22	Žalgiris Kaunas - Olimpia Milano	71:62

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