Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday


	Apollon Patras		Ermis Agias

	1	2
	1.31	3.55
	1.36	2.95
	1.35	3.2
	1.3	3.3
	1.36	3.18
	1.31	3.5
	1.32	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.49)	3.29 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Patras
71.2%

Ermis Agias
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Patras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Apollon Patras's performance.

Ermis Agias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ermis Agias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Patras than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Apollon Patras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermis Agias than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ermis Agias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Apollon Patras - Ermis Agias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:73

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs) and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ A2).

Recent matches Apollon Patras is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ermis Agias is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ermis Agias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Apollon Patras is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Apollon Patras won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 388-345.

Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Patras won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 216-196.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Patras BC
Greek Basket League A1
12.12.21	Olympiacos Piraeus - Apollon Patras	98:78 ✺
04.12.21	Apollon Patras - PAOK	95:91 ✺
20.11.21	Peristeri BC - Apollon Patras	78:68 ✺
07.11.21	Iraklis - Apollon Patras	81:82 ✺
30.10.21	Apollon Patras - Promitheas Patras	59:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLWL
- Ermis Agias Larissa
Greek Basket League A1
06.12.21	Ermis Agias - Olympiacos Piraeus	70:101 ✺
21.11.21	PAOK - Ermis Agias	82:71 ✺
14.11.21	Ermis Agias - Peristeri BC	63:78 ✺
31.10.21	Ermis Agias - Iraklis	55:70 ✺
23.10.21	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	91:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Elite League Basketball
20.04.19	Ermis Agias - Apollon Patras	80:87
05.01.19	Apollon Patras - Ermis Agias	72:62
24.03.18	Ermis Agias - Apollon Patras	69:85
02.12.17	Apollon Patras - Ermis Agias	70:52

Apollon Patras - Ermis Agias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide