Match Info

AmeriCup - Play Offs - Final

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Polideportivo Alexis Argüello (Managua)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Serbia	SportKlub 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports


	Argentina		Brazil

	1	2
	3.35	1.34	Watch
	3	1.34	Watch
	2.92	1.37
	2.63	1.45	Watch
	3.06	1.37	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.39)	1.41 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentina
33%

Brazil
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Argentina's form might have worsened.

Brazil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brazil's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentina than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Argentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brazil than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brazil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Argentina - Brazil Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentina (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Brazil (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 161.5, OT - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +6.5, OT - Argentina (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentina (votes: 2 - 50%). Brazil (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Brussino N. Gran Canaria	51. Caboclo B. Hapoel Tel-Aviv
1. Caffaro F. Basquet Girona	1. Deodato Flamengo
10. Corbalan G. San Pablo Burgos	32. De Paula G. Franca
21. Fernandez J. Basquet Girona	9. Dias L. Franca
11. Vildoza J. Boca Juniors	2. Yago Crvena zvezda
Substitutes
20. Bocca J.	8. Benite V. Real Betis
16. Bordon D.	4. Borges A. Flamengo
18. Bressan G. Alicante	29. Camilo R. Pinheiros
6. Marcos J. Basquet Girona	43. Fernandes N. Franca
44. Negrete A. Instituto de Cordoba	45. Maozinha Pereira
23. Trouet S.	23. Pacheco C. Tizona Burgos
22. Vaulet J. Palencia	30. Ruan Flamengo
Coaches
. Prigioni P.	. Petrovic A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentina won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Brazil could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Argentina won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 957:952. (average 73.6:73.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentina basketball
AmeriCup Basketball
30.08.25	Canada - Argentina	73:83 ✺
28.08.25	Puerto Rico - Argentina	77:82 OT ✺
25.08.25	Argentina - Colombia	84:83 ✺
24.08.25	Argentina - Dominican Republic	83:84 OT ✺
22.08.25	Nicaragua - Argentina	70:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWLW
- Brazil basketball
AmeriCup Basketball
30.08.25	Brazil - USA	92:77 ✺
28.08.25	Dominican Republic - Brazil	82:94 ✺
26.08.25	USA - Brazil	90:78 ✺
24.08.25	Bahamas - Brazil	66:84 ✺
23.08.25	Brazil - Uruguay	81:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AmeriCup Basketball
11.09.22	Brazil - Argentina	73:75
Friendly International Basketball
15.08.19	Argentina - Brazil	82:89
21.08.17	Argentina - Brazil	86:74
Olympic Games - Basketball
13.08.16	Argentina - Brazil	111:107 OT (85:85)
South American Championship Basketball
01.07.16	Argentina - Brazil	82:88
Friendly International Basketball
25.08.15	Argentina - Brazil	71:80
09.08.15	Brazil - Argentina	67:61 OT (59:59)

Argentina - Brazil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide