Match Info

EUROPE: Eurocup - Round 12

Date: 17 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Alexandreio Mellathron (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Calic S. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Slovakia	Sport TV2


	Aris		Lietkabelis

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.78	1.95
	1.87	1.94	Watch
	1.94	1.9
	1.84	1.95	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.81	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.7)	1.92 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
50.8%

Lietkabelis
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Lietkabelis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lietkabelis than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Aris - Lietkabelis Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Lietkabelis will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lietkabelis: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banks J.	16. Kalaitzakis G.
0. Cooper S.	50. Kovliar O.
55. Hodge D.	35. Lavrinovicius D.
11. Laszewski N.	12. Maldunas G.
22. Woodbury T.	13. Varnas M.
Substitutes
10. Chatzidakis E.	2. Bickauskis D.
25. Fillios G.	25. Briggs J.
12. Gkiouzelis G.	10. Lipkevicius V.
2. Nolley II L.	15. Pecarski M.
23. Roberts J.	17. Rubstavicius M.
17. Vissariou T.	3. Stenionis D.
21. Willis D.	18. Vasiliauskas G.
Coaches
. Kastritis I.	. Canak N.

Preview

Aris is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lietkabelis is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aris won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 235:217 (average 78.3:72.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Aris won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 69:60

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Basket League A1
14.12.24	Aris - Karditsas	69:96 ✺
Eurocup
11.12.24	Türk Telekom BK - Aris	87:77 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
07.12.24	Lavrio - Aris	93:84 ✺
Eurocup
04.12.24	Aris - Venezia	74:81 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
01.12.24	Aris - PAOK	88:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW
- Lietkabelis Panevezys
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
14.12.24	Mažeikiai - Lietkabelis	93:87 ✺
Eurocup
11.12.24	Hapoel Jerusalem - Lietkabelis	87:93 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
07.12.24	Lietkabelis - Šiauliai	93:76 ✺
Eurocup
04.12.24	Lietkabelis - Türk Telekom BK	93:98 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
01.12.24	Lietkabelis - Nevėžis Kedainiai	93:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Eurocup
08.10.24	Lietkabelis - Aris	74:92
12.12.23	Aris - Lietkabelis	69:60
10.10.23	Lietkabelis - Aris	83:74

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