Match Info

Basket League - Play Out - Round 1

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Sports Center Lavrio (Lavrio)


	Lavrio		Aris

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.05
	1.87	1.95	Watch
	1.84	1.94	Watch
	1.83	2.02
	1.8	1.98	Watch
	1.87	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.69)	1.98 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lavrio
52.1%

Aris
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lavrio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lavrio than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Lavrio - Aris Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Mouratos V. (C)	55. Hodge D.
12. Sherman T.	23. Roberts J.
34. Slater B.	4. Toliopoulos V. (C)
20. Vaughn R.	21. Willis D.
22. Wahab Q.	22. Woodbury T.
Substitutes
4. Koniaris A.	13. Bochoridis E.
14. Patrikis A.	10. Chatzidakis E.
5. Payton C.	0. Cooper S.
3. Thornton M.	25. Fillios G.
0. Tsamis P.	96. Juiston S.
55. Vazoukis I.	17. Vissariou T.
13. Zaras T.
Coaches
. Mexas K.	. Vetoulas N.

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lavrio won 3.

Lavrio has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Aris is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lavrio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Lavrio won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 1415:1501 (average 74.5:79).

Including matches at home between the teams Lavrio won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 708:665 (average 78.7:73.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lavrio BC
Greek Basket League A1
29.03.25	Peristeri BC - Lavrio	90:77 ✺
23.03.25	Panathinaikos - Lavrio	98:70 ✺
15.03.25	Lavrio - AEK Athens	79:90 ✺
10.03.25	Aris - Lavrio	82:65 ✺
03.03.25	Lavrio - Karditsas	82:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Basket League A1
01.04.25	Aris - Peristeri BC	78:83 ✺
29.03.25	Panionios - Aris	92:78 ✺
23.03.25	Karditsas - Aris	76:82 ✺
17.03.25	Aris - Panathinaikos	73:83 ✺
10.03.25	Aris - Lavrio	82:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
10.03.25	Aris - Lavrio	82:65
07.12.24	Lavrio - Aris	93:84
23.03.24	Aris - Lavrio	84:60
23.12.23	Lavrio - Aris	91:86 OT
18.03.23	Lavrio - Aris	81:70
04.12.22	Aris - Lavrio	87:61
19.03.22	Lavrio - Aris	68:64

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