Match Info

WNBA - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Gateway Center Arena (College Park, GA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN 2
Brazil	ESPN 6
Colombia	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Mexico	ESPN 2
Netherlands	ESPN
Peru	ESPN 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Turkey	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	ESPN USA, NBC


	Atlanta Dream		New York Liberty

	1	2
	1.72	2.05	Watch
	1.77	2.10
	1.77	2.07
	1.79	2.13
	1.78	1.99	Watch
	1.75	2.07
	1.76	2.11
	1.75	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.61)	2.08 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Dream
54.1%

New York Liberty
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Dream has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

New York Liberty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Dream than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Liberty than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Atlanta Dream - New York Liberty Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. New York (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Atlanta Dream will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bonner D.	18. Astier P.
3. Canada J.	13. Fiebich L.
00. Hillmon-Baker N.	20. Ionescu S.
10. Howard R.	35. Jones J.
5. Reese A.	30. Stewart B.
Coaches
. Smesko K.	. DeMarco C.

Preview

Atlanta Dream leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 4.

Atlanta has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

New York has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

New York could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Atlanta in today's match, at odds of 1.79.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Atlanta has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1607:1696 (averaging 80.4:84.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atlanta against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 719:799 goals (averaging 79.9:88.8 per game).

Outrights of WNBA for now

Atlanta Dream W: 43.71% New York Liberty W: 4.37%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Dream
WNBA
04.10.26	Atlanta Dream - New York Liberty	92:82 ✺
30.09.26	Washington Mystics - Atlanta Dream	75:93 ✺
27.09.26	Atlanta Dream - Washington Mystics	92:77 ✺
23.09.26	New York Liberty - Atlanta Dream	65:83 ✺
21.09.26	New York Liberty - Atlanta Dream	84:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW
- New York Liberty
WNBA
04.10.26	Atlanta Dream - New York Liberty	92:82 ✺
29.09.26	New York Liberty - Minnesota Lynx	87:71 ✺
27.09.26	Minnesota Lynx - New York Liberty	75:91 ✺
23.09.26	New York Liberty - Atlanta Dream	65:83 ✺
21.09.26	New York Liberty - Atlanta Dream	84:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
04.10.26	Atlanta Dream - New York Liberty	92:82
23.09.26	New York Liberty - Atlanta Dream	65:83
21.09.26	New York Liberty - Atlanta Dream	84:95
11.06.26	Atlanta Dream - New York Liberty	90:104
23.08.25	Atlanta Dream - New York Liberty	78:62
13.07.25	New York Liberty - Atlanta Dream	79:72
29.06.25	Atlanta Dream - New York Liberty	90:81

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