Match Info

Euroleague - Round 38

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Movistar Arena (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Peerandi R. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3
Europe	—	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
France	20:45	SKWeek App
Germany	20:45	Magenta Sport
Greece	21:45	Nova Sports 4
Israel	21:45	Sport 5
Poland	20:45	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV3
Russia	21:45	Okko Sport
Spain	20:45	Movistar Plus+
Turkey	21:45	S Sport+
Ukraine	21:45	Setanta Sports+
International	18:45	EuroLeague TV


	Real Madrid		Crvena Zvezda

	1	2
	1.29	3.3	Watch
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.57
	1.31	3.76	Watch
	1.3	3.5
	1.33	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	3.53 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
73%

Crvena Zvezda
27%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Crvena Zvezda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Real Madrid - Crvena Zvezda Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Real Madrid will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +8.5, OT - Crvena Zvezda (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Abalde A.	95. Moneke C.
11. Hezonja M.	33. Nwora J.
22. Tavares E.	21. Bolomboy J.
7. Campazzo F.	0. Miller-McIntyre C.
8. Okeke C.	11. Carter T.
Substitutes
14. Deck G.	6. Butler J.
24. Feliz A.	13. Dobric O.
16. Garuba U.	15. Izundu E.
25. Len A.	12. Kalinic N.
23. Llull S.	2. Miljenovic S.
0. Lyles T.	37. Ojeleye S.
12. Maledon T.	14. Rivero J.
Coaches
. Scariolo S.	. Obradovic S.

Preview

Real Madrid is Qualified for Euroleague (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 4.

In recent matches, Real Madrid has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Crvena Zvezda is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Real Madrid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Real Madrid has had a series of away games.

In this match, Real Madrid is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 1542:1381. (average 77.1:69.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 788:655. (average 78.8:65.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L
5	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	9	6	3	763:683
6	Real Madrid	9	6	3	866:792

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Real Madrid: 10.5% Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet: 2.9%

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 71.82%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid basketball
Spanish ACB League
12.04.26	San Pablo Burgos - Real Madrid	78:94 ✺
Euroleague
09.04.26	Fenerbahçe - Real Madrid	69:74 ✺
07.04.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Real Madrid	102:89 ✺
Spanish ACB League
05.04.26	Real Madrid - BC Andorra	97:90 ✺
Euroleague
03.04.26	Baskonia - Real Madrid	98:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL
- KK Crvena Zvezda
Adriatic League
13.04.26	Crvena Zvezda - U BT Cluj-Napoca	86:76 ✺
Euroleague
10.04.26	ASVEL Basket - Crvena Zvezda	93:106 ✺
07.04.26	Crvena Zvezda - Paris	94:81 ✺
Adriatic League
04.04.26	Igokea - Crvena Zvezda	73:86 ✺
Euroleague
02.04.26	Crvena Zvezda - Partizan Belgrade	82:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
17.10.25	Crvena Zvezda - Real Madrid	90:75
28.03.25	Crvena Zvezda - Real Madrid	72:78
24.10.24	Real Madrid - Crvena Zvezda	95:72
29.03.24	Real Madrid - Crvena Zvezda	101:94
19.12.23	Crvena Zvezda - Real Madrid	58:72
10.01.23	Crvena Zvezda - Real Madrid	59:79
21.10.22	Real Madrid - Crvena Zvezda	72:56

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