What is the expert prediction for Barcelona vs Fenerbahçe?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Barcelona vs Fenerbahçe. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Barcelona vs Fenerbahçe Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, February 03, 2026)

Match Info

Euroleague - Round 26

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Palau Blaugrana (Barcelona)

Referee: Obrknezevic U. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 4
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Israel	5 STARS Israel, Sport 5
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Barcelona		Fenerbahçe

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.25
	1.62	2.37
	1.63	2.41
	1.57	2.25
	1.58	2.48	Watch
	1.71	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)	2.31 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
58.6%

Fenerbahçe
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 25.1% – 83.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -3, OT - Barcelona (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 85:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Clyburn W.	13. Biberovic T.
0. Punter K.	92. Birch K.
13. Satoransky T.	20. Hall D.
23. Shengelia T.	8. Horton-Tucker T.
6. Vesely J.	4. Melli N.
Substitutes
8. Brizuela D.	00. Bacot A.
3. Cale M.	2. Baldwin W.
19. Fall Y.	17. Bitim O.
14. Hernangomez W.	11. Boston B.
20. Laprovittola N.	50. Colson B.
5. Norris M.	12. De Colo N.
44. Parra J.	18. Jantunen M.
Coaches
. Pascual X.	. Jasikevicius S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 3.

Barcelona has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fenerbahçe is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Fenerbahçe will win today's game, with odds of 2.22.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1596:1519. (average 79.8:76).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 828:740. (average 82.8:74).

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Outrights of Euroleague for now

Fenerbahce: 16.86% Barcelona: 5.47%

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	L
1	Fenerbahce	35	23	12	2884:2816
8	Barcelona	35	20	15	2907:2892

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona Basketball
Spanish ACB League
01.02.26	UCAM Murcia - Barcelona	84:83 ✺
Euroleague
29.01.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Barcelona	87:75 ✺
Spanish ACB League
25.01.26	Barcelona - Canarias	82:89 ✺
Euroleague
23.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Barcelona	91:98 ✺
20.01.26	Barcelona - Dubai	91:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWW
- Fenerbahçe Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
31.01.26	Karşıyaka - Fenerbahçe	55:91 ✺
Euroleague
29.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	79:62 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
25.01.26	Petkim Spor - Fenerbahçe	70:78 ✺
Euroleague
23.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Baskonia	84:71 ✺
21.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Fenerbahçe	80:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
23.12.25	Fenerbahçe - Barcelona	72:71
02.04.25	Fenerbahçe - Barcelona	75:83
17.12.24	Barcelona - Fenerbahçe	90:63
20.03.24	Fenerbahçe - Barcelona	88:74
08.12.23	Barcelona - Fenerbahçe	89:81
10.03.23	Fenerbahçe - Barcelona	81:73
04.11.22	Barcelona - Fenerbahçe	81:80

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