Match Info

Euroleague - Round 24

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: LDLC Arena (Lyon)

Referee: Attard B. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 5
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Israel	Sport 5
Peru	Movistar Deportes
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Spain	M+ Deportes, Movistar Plus+
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	ASVEL Basket		Barcelona

	1	2
	4	1.24	Watch
	4.2	1.23
	3.95	1.25
	3.99	1.26
	3.76	1.31	Watch
	3.5	1.25
	4.14	1.26	Watch
	3.8	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.07)	1.26 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASVEL Basket
24.3%

Barcelona
75.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASVEL Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ASVEL Basket's form might have worsened.

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASVEL Basket than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ASVEL Basket, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barcelona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

ASVEL Basket - Barcelona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 165.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +8.5, OT - ASVEL (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. ASVEL (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Barcelona (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Lighty D.	3. Cale M.
1. Seljaas Z.	23. Shengelia T.
0. Eboua P.	14. Hernangomez W.
11. Jackson E.	13. Satoransky T.
30. Watson G.	0. Punter K.
Substitutes
8. Ajinca M.	8. Brizuela D.
6. Angola B.	19. Fall Y.
7. Heurtel T.	20. Laprovittola N.
10. Massa B.	2. Marcos J.
24. Ndiaye M.	5. Norris M.
94. Traore A.	44. Parra J.
32. Vautier B.	6. Vesely J.
Coaches
. Poupet P.	. Pascual X.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 2.

ASVEL has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barcelona is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, ASVEL has had a series of home games.

In this match, Barcelona is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1013:1058. (average 77.9:81.4).

Including home matches between the teams, ASVEL won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 471:472. (average 78.5:78.7).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Barcelona: 3.54% Lyon-Villeurbanne: 0.99%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
8	Barcelona	4	2	2	352:346
12	Lyon-Villeurbanne	4	2	2	353:377

Last Results with these Odds

ASVEL Basket - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.86%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASVEL Basket
Euroleague
20.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Žalgiris Kaunas	77:96 ✺
French LNB
18.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Le Portel	104:58 ✺
Euroleague
16.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Hapoel Tel Aviv	73:81 ✺
French LNB
13.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Boulazac	94:77 ✺
11.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Paris	93:98 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLWL
- FC Barcelona Basketball
Euroleague
20.01.26	Barcelona - Dubai	91:89 ✺
Spanish ACB League
18.01.26	San Pablo Burgos - Barcelona	79:80 ✺
Euroleague
16.01.26	Real Madrid - Barcelona	80:61 ✺
Spanish ACB League
11.01.26	Barcelona - Granada	108:71 ✺
Euroleague
09.01.26	Barcelona - Partizan Belgrade	88:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
26.11.25	Barcelona - ASVEL Basket	88:78
24.01.25	ASVEL Basket - Barcelona	100:94
25.10.24	Barcelona - ASVEL Basket	90:83
12.04.24	ASVEL Basket - Barcelona	76:72
01.12.23	Barcelona - ASVEL Basket	101:92
11.01.23	ASVEL Basket - Barcelona	75:82
09.12.22	Barcelona - ASVEL Basket	74:75

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