Match Info

ACB - Round 4

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Palacio de Deportes de Murcia (Murcia)

Referee: Lucas Martinez R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4


	UCAM Murcia		Baskonia

	1	2
	1.56	2.5	Watch
	1.54	2.35	Watch
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.59	2.42	Watch
	1.64	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.72)	2.31 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
58.9%

Baskonia
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UCAM Murcia's performance.

Baskonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baskonia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

UCAM Murcia - Baskonia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, 1Q - Murcia (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Murcia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Raieste S.	7. Kurucs R.
99. Nakic T.	2. Simmons K.
0. Cacok D.	1. Diakite M.
31. Ennis D.	6. Diallo H.
5. DeJulius D.	4. Villar R.
Substitutes
15. Cate E.	18. Diop K.
21. Diagne M.	25. Frisch C.
13. Falk W.	77. Joksimovic S.
1. Forrest M.	9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.
24. Hicks Z.	3. Nowell M.
12. Radebaugh J.	8. Sedekerskis T.
8. Sant-Roos H.	10. Spagnolo M.
Coaches
. Alonso S.	. Galbiati P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Baskonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Murcia could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Murcia will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1561:1670. (average 78.1:83.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 789:817. (average 78.9:81.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia
FIBA Europe Cup
21.10.25	Bosna - UCAM Murcia	87:72 ✺
Spanish ACB League
18.10.25	Canarias - UCAM Murcia	96:80 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
15.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Rilski Sportist	77:63 ✺
Spanish ACB League
11.10.25	Girona - UCAM Murcia	71:93 ✺
05.10.25	UCAM Murcia - BC Andorra	95:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWW
- Saski Baskonia
Euroleague
23.10.25	Crvena Zvezda - Baskonia	90:72 ✺
Spanish ACB League
19.10.25	Granada - Baskonia	80:83 ✺
Euroleague
17.10.25	Baskonia - Partizan Belgrade	79:91 ✺
15.10.25	Paris - Baskonia	105:87 ✺
Spanish ACB League
12.10.25	Baskonia - Real Madrid	105:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
12.04.25	UCAM Murcia - Baskonia	82:91
12.10.24	Baskonia - UCAM Murcia	83:84
10.05.24	Baskonia - UCAM Murcia	94:79
27.09.23	UCAM Murcia - Baskonia	88:76
29.01.23	UCAM Murcia - Baskonia	80:87
04.12.22	Baskonia - UCAM Murcia	102:73
Club Friendly Basketball
15.09.22	Baskonia - UCAM Murcia	69:88

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